OtherGround Forum >> 10 Pro-Gun Myths: Shot Down
| 1/31/13 6:39 PM | |
Adventure Runner
292
Member Since: 7/18/11 Posts: 1454 |
Tidbits - http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2013/01/pro-gun-myths-fact-check I just read to #2 admittedly. As a gun owner of Massachusetts (which that graph seemed to make an example about), gun crimes have gone UP since the strict gun laws have been put in place. So maybe MA has less gun crime than other states with more lax gun laws. It likely was always that way... |
| 2/1/13 8:08 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11215 |
ayeandaye -dabigchet -when's the last time you saw a thread about banning tobacco or alcohol? or about deaths from medical malpractice? or about ways to reduce traffic fatalities?ayeandaye - why in the fuck are so many people freaking out about guns, when there are so many other things that kill more people? maybe start with the things that cause the most fatalities and work your way down? oh wait, that would make sense.. please take a look at myth #1. i have not seen a "ban guns" thread either. |
| 2/1/13 8:15 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11216 |
419 - "statistically, if i buy a gun is it more likely to be used to defend my family or in a homicide or suicide or accident?" thats a ridiculous article. the numbers used in the mother jones article are more reasonable and from larger more recent studies. and i am not arguing that they are accurate nation wide. but it is 37 suicides (your link) or 11 suicide attempts (mother jones guy) or even if that overestimates by 100% its still a shit ton more. and that doesnt even add in homicides and accidents. so the question is, statistically speaking, does having a gun in your home increase or reduce safety? the best information we have is that it reduces safety, and it is hilarious to see pro-gun people deny that point. it is somewhat like evolution or climate change deniers, imo. |
| 2/1/13 8:16 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11217 |
BigRyana -12SixElbow -dabigchet - "FACT: in 2012, in Portland a shooter was stopped because a mall shopper drew on him (Clackamas town center shooting)." i would be interested to see an article where anyone but the CCW confirms that the shooter saw him and reacted. please post if you have one. |
| 2/1/13 8:31 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11218 |
Trust - well, if you apply that to anything else you can see its a pretty poor way to look at risk. let's apply this method of thinking to carbon monoxide detectors. if .006% is the suicide rate the death rate by carbon monoxide (not in a fire) is .0006%. if i asked the question, "does a carbon monoxide detector make you safer", would you answer in the same way? of course not. yet, there are too many needless, preventable carbon monoxide deaths. same with homicides and suicides and injuries with guns that should have never been owned in the first place. |
| 2/1/13 8:45 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11219 |
ayeandaye -dabigchet -substitute "ban" for "more regulation", the point is still the same.ayeandaye -dabigchet -when's the last time you saw a thread about banning tobacco or alcohol? or about deaths from medical malpractice? or about ways to reduce traffic fatalities?ayeandaye - why in the fuck are so many people freaking out about guns, when there are so many other things that kill more people? maybe start with the things that cause the most fatalities and work your way down? oh wait, that would make sense.. oh, then yes there have been plenty of threads about the right level of regulation on drugs, tobacco, etc. |
| 2/1/13 8:47 AM | |
juszczec
64
Member Since: 2/23/03 Posts: 10810 |
likatiga -juszczec - I'd be interested in seeing corroborating statistics from a site that has no agenda to push. and why do you suppose that is? What's wrong with the truth, some verifiable statistics? Why do we have to have outrageous claims from both sides that really do nothing except confuse the issue? |
| 2/1/13 9:21 AM | |
juszczec
64
Member Since: 2/23/03 Posts: 10811 |
ayeandaye -dabigchet -if there have been threads with people complaining that we need more drug regulation i haven't seen them, and there certainly aren't close to as many as about guns. why don't you link to one of these threads with people advocating more tobacco regulation?ayeandaye -dabigchet -substitute "ban" for "more regulation", the point is still the same.ayeandaye -dabigchet -when's the last time you saw a thread about banning tobacco or alcohol? or about deaths from medical malpractice? or about ways to reduce traffic fatalities?ayeandaye - why in the fuck are so many people freaking out about guns, when there are so many other things that kill more people? maybe start with the things that cause the most fatalities and work your way down? oh wait, that would make sense.. tobacco regulation? has there been a call for additional tobacco regulation? is it even needed? hasn't the information about the negative effects of smoking been publicized to the point that if you missed it then you are deliberately trying to ignore it? and as far as drug regulation is concerned, we've had 20+ years of "Just Say No" and going after the users. what has it gotten us? a whole bunch of small time users in the legal system. IF the Fed wants to continue the "war on drugs" then then they need to go after the suppliers because I think its safe to say the tactic of concentrating on the buyers has failed. |
| 2/1/13 9:50 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11220 |
hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit. |
| 2/1/13 9:52 AM | |
juszczec
64
Member Since: 2/23/03 Posts: 10814 |
ayeandaye -juszczec -i was talking about threads on the og. and i wasn't saying that nobody speaks of these things, the point was public discourse in relation to fatality rate. meaning that gun control seems to be given significantly more importance than issues that cause a lot more deaths.ayeandaye -dabigchet -if there have been threads with people complaining that we need more drug regulation i haven't seen them, and there certainly aren't close to as many as about guns. why don't you link to one of these threads with people advocating more tobacco regulation?ayeandaye -dabigchet -substitute "ban" for "more regulation", the point is still the same.ayeandaye -dabigchet -when's the last time you saw a thread about banning tobacco or alcohol? or about deaths from medical malpractice? or about ways to reduce traffic fatalities?ayeandaye - why in the fuck are so many people freaking out about guns, when there are so many other things that kill more people? maybe start with the things that cause the most fatalities and work your way down? oh wait, that would make sense.. ah, my bad. i understand now. public discourse re firearm deaths is important right now because its foremost in everyone's minds. give it a month - the public's attention will shift to something else. |
| 2/1/13 9:56 AM | |
Trust
242
Member Since: 1/1/01 Posts: 71146 |
dabigchet -Trust - "if i asked the question, "does a carbon monoxide detector make you safer", would you answer in the same way? " Yes, I would. |
| 2/1/13 10:01 AM | |
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angryinch
Member Since: 3/14/04 Posts: 96211 |
ayeandaye -dabigchet - hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit.there are around half a million deaths from tobacco every year compared to about 30 thousand from guns, and of those 30 thousand a very small percentage is from AR's. you can try to form circular arguments all you want. but anyone with at least average intelligence can see that it's the media controlling the fools that can't think for themselves. That's correct. ARs are not some overwhelming massive problem that needs to be addressed. They are not interested in saving lives or in protecting "the children", they just want to push their controlling agenda. |
| 2/1/13 10:02 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11222 |
Trust -dabigchet -Trust - really. do you have a carbon monoxide detector? |
| 2/1/13 10:02 AM | |
-FC-
11
Member Since: 5/17/08 Posts: 23790 |
New Leaf 1.0 - The source should be attacked, just like you would attack it if the source was known to provide dishonest and biased information the other direction.Well said.
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| 2/1/13 10:04 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11223 |
ayeandaye -dabigchet - hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit.there are around half a million deaths from tobacco every year compared to about 30 thousand from guns, and of those 30 thousand a very small percentage is from AR's. you can try to form circular arguments all you want. but anyone with at least average intelligence can see that it's the media controlling the fools that can't think for themselves. have tobacco related deaths increased or decreased in the last 50 years or so? why has that happened? |
| 2/1/13 10:04 AM | |
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Chief Meteorologist Brick Tamland
Member Since: 7/12/10 Posts: 2615 |
More Guns Less Crime by John Lott |
| 2/1/13 10:24 AM | |
419
35
Member Since: 11/12/00 Posts: 23847 |
Mother Jones cited Kellerman's 1998 study, which used the same methodology as his earlier work. Not all DGUs involve a shooting. The low estimate for DGUs is 100K, which is more than the 30K gun homicide/suicide/accidental deaths. |
| 2/1/13 10:30 AM | |
novaguy
3
Member Since: 7/31/05 Posts: 1139 |
awilson82 -7-10% less repeat offenders then. Much more efficient than prison.
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| 2/1/13 10:34 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11224 |
419 - Mother Jones cited Kellerman's 1998 study, which used the same methodology as his earlier work. Not all DGUs involve a shooting. The low estimate for DGUs is 100K, which is more than the 30K gun homicide/suicide/accidental deaths. among others. the numbers cited for suicide by the mother jones article is way less than the kellerman study. please post your source for this low estimate. |
| 2/1/13 10:43 AM | |
419
35
Member Since: 11/12/00 Posts: 23848 |
I already posted this link: http://guncite.com/gun_control_gcdguse.html |
| 2/1/13 10:44 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11225 |
ayeandaye -dabigchet -ayeandaye -dabigchet - hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit.there are around half a million deaths from tobacco every year compared to about 30 thousand from guns, and of those 30 thousand a very small percentage is from AR's. you can try to form circular arguments all you want. but anyone with at least average intelligence can see that it's the media controlling the fools that can't think for themselves. the notion of "X is a bigger problem than Y, so we should ignore Y" is lazy and the only person who would argue such an argument is someone with a vested interested in Y that they can't defend with a rational argument. i am all ears for ideas to prevent tobacco and alcohol deaths if you have them. feel free to create a thread if you feel like we can cut into these numbers more than we already have, and i will be happy to participate! |
| 2/1/13 10:56 AM | |
419
35
Member Since: 11/12/00 Posts: 23849 |
"On the basis of National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) data, one would conclude that defensive uses are rare indeed, about 108,000 per year..." https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles/165476.pdf That research-in-brief argued that its own survey result of 1.5 million, and Kleck's 2.5 million number, were likely the result of false positives, but went on to say: "The key explanation for the difference between the 108,000 NCVS estimate for the annual number of DGUs and the several million from the surveys discussed earlier is that NCVS avoids the false-positive problem by limiting DGU questions to persons who first reported that they were crime victims." For the record, the research-in-brief goes on to criticize the results of surveys in general. |
| 2/1/13 11:02 AM | |
419
35
Member Since: 11/12/00 Posts: 23850 |
Total number of firearm deaths in 2010, per the CDC: 31,672. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/injury.htm |
| 2/1/13 11:04 AM | |
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dabigchet
Member Since: 9/10/07 Posts: 11226 |
419 - I already posted this link: right. it's terrible. those kleck "studies" are just survey's. if i called 100 people and said "have you ever seen someone possessed by a demon" how many positive's would i get? could i then extrapolate that number to population of the united stated? there are some studies cited here that go into this http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/hicrc/firearms-research/gun-threats-and-self-defense-gun-use-2/ when actual uses of guns are studied, it is found that in general, suicides, homicides and injuries together far outpace defensive gun uses not used in a crime. that there are crazy overestimates gathered by bad methods does not somehow bring up the average of defensive use. |
| 2/1/13 11:06 AM | |
419
35
Member Since: 11/12/00 Posts: 23851 |
This article cites even lower estimates based on the NCVS, but those estimates are also greater than 30K. "For almost a decade scholars have been debating about how many defensive gun uses (DGUs) occur annually. Gary Kleck and colleagues, [1] citing a series of polls culminating in the 1993 Kleck-Gertz survey, argue that at least 2.55 million people use a firearm for protection against criminals each year. Hemenway and others, [2] relying on the National Crime Victimization Surveys (NCVSs), contend that only about 55,000 to 80,000 victims use guns against offenders in a given year. The estimates are wide apart and their academic champions staunchly defend their respective figures as correct and accurate, while dismissing the opposing figures as invalid and implausible..." http://www.saf.org/LawReviews/SmithT1.htm |
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