OtherGround Forum >> 10 Pro-Gun Myths: Shot Down

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2/1/13 11:09 AM
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likatiga 99 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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juszczec - 
likatiga - 
juszczec - I'd be interested in seeing corroborating statistics from a site that has no agenda to push.

I don't read Mother Jones enough to know if they've got a bias.

If you read that article, you've read enough.

Both sides of the argument do this ridiculous dishonest misrepresentation of facts and statistics.

and why do you suppose that is?

What's wrong with the truth, some verifiable statistics? Why do we have to have outrageous claims from both sides that really do nothing except confuse the issue?


Exactly.

Both sides are just trying to "win" and neither really care about the root of the issue, which is to prevent people from dying at the hands of guns. There are very powerful motivators for both sides of course; money & political advancement carrying the most weight.

Really sad.
2/1/13 11:14 AM
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419 39 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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From the Harvard Public Health link:

"Using data from a survey of detainees in a Washington D.C. jail, we worked with a prison physician to investigate the circumstances of gunshot wounds to these criminals.
We found that one in four of these detainees had been wounded, in events that appear unrelated to their incarceration. Most were shot when they were victims of robberies, assaults and crossfires. Virtually none report being wounded by a 'law-abiding citizen.'"

This survey also appears to have some reliability issues.
2/1/13 11:17 AM
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dabigchet Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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the issue is that the kleck number is so ridiculously inflated, than any low number give the impression of "well, it should be at least this much".

surveys are not a good indicator of defensive gun use. if we have a squabble and both pull a gun, we are likely both going to declare it a defensive use because of our biases. if i perceive myself to be threatened, i am going to report that as a defensive gun use. the only way to measure it consistently is to actually consider reported crimes and gun uses. i accept that this will under count some legitimate defensive uses that were not reported (but probably not too much). and every time they are looked at by that criteria they are far outweighed by suicide, homicide and injury.
2/1/13 11:18 AM
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juszczec 42 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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likatiga - 
juszczec - 
likatiga - 
juszczec - I'd be interested in seeing corroborating statistics from a site that has no agenda to push.

I don't read Mother Jones enough to know if they've got a bias.

If you read that article, you've read enough.

Both sides of the argument do this ridiculous dishonest misrepresentation of facts and statistics.

and why do you suppose that is?

What's wrong with the truth, some verifiable statistics? Why do we have to have outrageous claims from both sides that really do nothing except confuse the issue?


Exactly.

Both sides are just trying to "win" and neither really care about the root of the issue, which is to prevent people from dying at the hands of guns. There are very powerful motivators for both sides of course; money & political advancement carrying the most weight.

Really sad.

And have you noticed - every single major issue that our country is treated like this.

The extremists on either side line up and start screaming. Politicians react to them for fear of their lobbying groups AND .... nothing changes.

I only hope the silent majority gets pissed off and stops being silent.
2/1/13 11:25 AM
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4de1 7 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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Tidbits - http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2013/01/pro-gun-myths-fact-check


FACTS, not opinion.

how long before the source is attacked?

Just got to this thread.

Sorry Tidbit
I'm on the anti-gun side of the debate but this article doesn't do much for me. I'm not going to through and dispute individual metrics from it, but I can see that some of the assertions are intellectually dishonest.

For someone who does this for a living I can quickly see when stats are specifically chosen to tell the story they want to tell.

I wouldn't hold this up as the basis of FACT in my argument. I'm someone who believes that the facts are actually on our side. The more the discussion is steered toward intellectual honesty the more evident it will become that advocating gun-control is a superior argument.
2/1/13 11:36 AM
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awilson82 31 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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dabigchet - the issue is that the kleck number is so ridiculously inflated, than any low number give the impression of "well, it should be at least this much".

surveys are not a good indicator of defensive gun use. if we have a squabble and both pull a gun, we are likely both going to declare it a defensive use because of our biases. if i perceive myself to be threatened, i am going to report that as a defensive gun use. the only way to measure it consistently is to actually consider reported crimes and gun uses. i accept that this will under count some legitimate defensive uses that were not reported (but probably not too much). and every time they are looked at by that criteria they are far outweighed by suicide, homicide and injury.

How often do you think legal permit holders pull out their gun in an argument? Id venture to say almost never.

If all you look at is reported crimes and uses they skews the picture too much and is too narrow of a scope.

Regardless factoring in suicides and accidents also skews the picture for one there arent very many accidental shootings at least not when you factor in the number of people who own guns in this country and if you learn and practice safe weapon handling you will never have an accident. Suicides are not caused by guns and if you know you are not suicidal then its a non issue my risk of gun suicide is 0% and frankly u are suicidal or you arent and there are plent of other non-gun ways that are just as easy Japan has no guns and their suicide rate is much higher. Point is assuming you and those in your household know gun safety and arent suicidal then you can remove those from your risk assessment.

The only way to balance wether a gun makes you more or less safe imo is to compare the number of DGUs vs the number of gun owners shot by someone else intentionally with their own gun.

2/1/13 11:36 AM
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New Leaf 1.0 Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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dabigchet - 
ayeandaye - 
dabigchet - hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit.
there are around half a million deaths from tobacco every year compared to about 30 thousand from guns, and of those 30 thousand a very small percentage is from AR's. you can try to form circular arguments all you want. but anyone with at least average intelligence can see that it's the media controlling the fools that can't think for themselves. Phone Post

have tobacco related deaths increased or decreased in the last 50 years or so? why has that happened?

I don't really see much of an analogy between the two. I'm not sure about over the last 50 years, but I know gun deaths per capita are down 50% or more in the last 30 years, so whatever we've done during that period of time is what we should keep doing.


The quickest way to reduce gun violence would be to fire the government - so we could have a decent economy and not have to worry about the "war on drugs."
2/1/13 11:45 AM
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Trust 269 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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dabigchet - 
ayeandaye - 
dabigchet - hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit.
there are around half a million deaths from tobacco every year compared to about 30 thousand from guns, and of those 30 thousand a very small percentage is from AR's. you can try to form circular arguments all you want. but anyone with at least average intelligence can see that it's the media controlling the fools that can't think for themselves. Phone Post

have tobacco related deaths increased or decreased in the last 50 years or so? why has that happened?

Violent crimes and gun homicides have gone down, too.  Even after the expiration of the AWB, and many states passing "shall issue" laws. 

2/1/13 11:47 AM
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New Leaf 1.0 Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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"Could it be that high powered rifles would be one of the most affective ways for the public to protect thmeselves from a tyrannical government/corporate controlled fascist state?"

This is reasonable, but I suspect it has more to do with the term "assault weapon" sounding so scary.
2/1/13 11:52 AM
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New Leaf 1.0 Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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juszczec - 
likatiga - 
juszczec - 
likatiga - 
juszczec - I'd be interested in seeing corroborating statistics from a site that has no agenda to push.

I don't read Mother Jones enough to know if they've got a bias.

If you read that article, you've read enough.

Both sides of the argument do this ridiculous dishonest misrepresentation of facts and statistics.

and why do you suppose that is?

What's wrong with the truth, some verifiable statistics? Why do we have to have outrageous claims from both sides that really do nothing except confuse the issue?


Exactly.

Both sides are just trying to "win" and neither really care about the root of the issue, which is to prevent people from dying at the hands of guns. There are very powerful motivators for both sides of course; money & political advancement carrying the most weight.

Really sad.

And have you noticed - every single major issue that our country is treated like this.

The extremists on either side line up and start screaming. Politicians react to them for fear of their lobbying groups AND .... nothing changes.

I only hope the silent majority gets pissed off and stops being silent.

The "extremists" are the ones whose freedom is most directly at risk, laws are typically about protecting or further marginalizing those outside the majority. Those in the majority are never going to care about infringement on rights they personally don't plan to exercise or don't want others to exercise.

If 99 out of 100 people supported gun centralization, the last guy would still be entitled to his freedom and his guns, or whatever the hell else he wanted to own.
2/1/13 12:00 PM
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419 39 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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"i accept that this will under count some legitimate defensive uses that were not reported (but probably not too much)."

What was that about bias?
2/1/13 12:04 PM
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dabigchet Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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ayeandaye - 
dabigchet - 
ayeandaye - 
dabigchet - 
ayeandaye - 
dabigchet - hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit.
there are around half a million deaths from tobacco every year compared to about 30 thousand from guns, and of those 30 thousand a very small percentage is from AR's. you can try to form circular arguments all you want. but anyone with at least average intelligence can see that it's the media controlling the fools that can't think for themselves. Phone Post

have tobacco related deaths increased or decreased in the last 50 years or so? why has that happened?

i'm sure they've decreased, but that doens't change that ridiculous ratio of 500,000/30,000. not to mention the fact that you can at least make an argument (i'm aware that it's debatable) that less gun regulation is beneficial, comapared to what possible benefits for alcohol and tobacco? it's a question on emphasis, not whether the issues are discussed at all.

the notion of "X is a bigger problem than Y, so we should ignore Y" is lazy and the only person who would argue such an argument is someone with a vested interested in Y that they can't defend with a rational argument.

i am all ears for ideas to prevent tobacco and alcohol deaths if you have them. feel free to create a thread if you feel like we can cut into these numbers more than we already have, and i will be happy to participate!

Wow, your lack of reading comprehension tells the story. Where did I say gun control should be ignored? Did I not state it was a question of emphasis? Where did I say that I personally believe tobacco and alcohol should be regulated more heavily?

lol at accusing me at lazy thinking.. Speaking of lazy thinkers, why aren't the gun control advocates asking themselves why the media has been puting a heavy emphasis on AR's when an overwhelming amount of homisides are commited using hand guns? And I'm aware that there are handgun restrictions being suggested, but again, it's a question of emphasis. Could it be that high powered rifles would be one of the most affective ways for the public to protect thmeselves from a tyrannical government/corporate controlled fascist state?



you are right that ignore was unfair. i apologize for that. but i maintain that it is lazy thinking. if there are reasonable solutions to lower tobacco deaths let's discuss them. i do not believe it is the case that those would bew solutions are being ignored because gun control is a hot topic again after being pretty ignored for 20 years.

the reason the media has put emphasis on ARs and high capacity magazines is because they are used in many mass shootings.
2/1/13 12:07 PM
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dabigchet Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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Trust - 
dabigchet - 
ayeandaye - 
dabigchet - hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit.
there are around half a million deaths from tobacco every year compared to about 30 thousand from guns, and of those 30 thousand a very small percentage is from AR's. you can try to form circular arguments all you want. but anyone with at least average intelligence can see that it's the media controlling the fools that can't think for themselves. Phone Post

have tobacco related deaths increased or decreased in the last 50 years or so? why has that happened?

Violent crimes and gun homicides have gone down, too.  Even after the expiration of the AWB, and many states passing "shall issue" laws. 


sure. i would think we could find common ground on these points:

- that gun crime reduction is largely driven by our incarceration rate
- "assault weapons" don't make up a statistically significant portion of total gun crimes
2/1/13 12:09 PM
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dabigchet Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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419 - "i accept that this will under count some legitimate defensive uses that were not reported (but probably not too much)."

What was that about bias?

do you believe that people who are not themselves criminals are defending themselves with guns in situations and are not reporting the crimes that require that protection to the police in such numbers that significantly skew gun defense measurements we can make? if so, why do you believe that?
2/1/13 12:18 PM
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419 39 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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Not all DGUs involve a shooting, and yes, there are people who don't report. I don't know how many, but neither do you.
2/1/13 12:20 PM
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White347LX 11 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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The most important fact is that I currently have certain rights and I do not want to lose them.
2/1/13 12:21 PM
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dabigchet Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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i agree that there are people that don't report. i am saying it is probably too much, and you suggested it was biased thinking.

why would you think that is a significant number?
2/1/13 12:31 PM
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419 39 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

Edited: 02/01/13 12:31 PM
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The NCVS numbers, even when scrutinized and adjusted, are between 55K and 80K. Not all DGUs involve a shooting.
2/1/13 1:09 PM
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dabigchet Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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about twice as many people died in mass shootings in 2012 than what typically die from lightning strikes in a year.

i don't believe this thread is specifically about mass shootings though. it is about gun myths. i am most interested in the defense vs danger ratio. i believe the data is clear that overall owning a gun = less safety. that doesn't make any judgment about AR-15s or tobacco deaths or the second amendment or anything else, although i have opinions about all of those.

it just means that owning a gun is more dangerous to your household than not owning one. pretty interesting if you ask me.
2/1/13 1:32 PM
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dabigchet - 
Trust - 
dabigchet - 
ayeandaye - 
dabigchet - hot topics in the news tend to be talked about here. saying that no one talks about tobacco is kind of like saying "how come there are no mitt romney threads?" it's not newsworthy anymore. however, whenever there are new cigarette labeling laws, or outdoor smoking bans, or whatever other anti-tobacco policies of the day there are, they tend to get discussed quite a bit.
there are around half a million deaths from tobacco every year compared to about 30 thousand from guns, and of those 30 thousand a very small percentage is from AR's. you can try to form circular arguments all you want. but anyone with at least average intelligence can see that it's the media controlling the fools that can't think for themselves. Phone Post

have tobacco related deaths increased or decreased in the last 50 years or so? why has that happened?

Violent crimes and gun homicides have gone down, too.  Even after the expiration of the AWB, and many states passing "shall issue" laws. 


sure. i would think we could find common ground on these points:

- that gun crime reduction is largely driven by our incarceration rate
- "assault weapons" don't make up a statistically significant portion of total gun crimes

Yes.  

Why do you think there is such intensity among people who want to ban assault weapons?  (this isn't a rhetorical question, I'm genuinely asking your opinion)

They are involved in a very small fraction of gun crimes, and they are no more lethal than their ordinary semi-automatic rifle counterparts which have been specifically exempted.   

2/1/13 1:46 PM
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dabigchet - about twice as many people died in mass shootings in 2012 than what typically die from lightning strikes in a year.

i don't believe this thread is specifically about mass shootings though. it is about gun myths. i am most interested in the defense vs danger ratio. i believe the data is clear that overall owning a gun = less safety. that doesn't make any judgment about AR-15s or tobacco deaths or the second amendment or anything else, although i have opinions about all of those.

it just means that owning a gun is more dangerous to your household than not owning one. pretty interesting if you ask me.

I still have to somewhat disagree with this, and let me see if I can explain it.  

The statistics imply, yet fail to prove that those homicides and suicides would not have occured but for the presence of a gun in the house.  If you can prove to me that if there had been no gun, then those people wouldn't have found some other way to do what they did, then I would consider it at least valid. I will concede that it would be rational to assume that some of those people would not have commited those acts without the ease of doing so that is provided by a gun and they may have re-thought/cooled off/changed their mind.  Likewise, some of those people would have found another way to commit those acts.  Furthermore, the studies imply that the mere presence of a gun is responsible for those things, which ignores the fact that it took a person to decide to use the gun to commit those acts.  So it seems to me those studies impute a person's decision to the gun, which is unreasonable to me.  

2/1/13 2:00 PM
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JitsuGuy 7 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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HAS ANYONE POSTED HOW MANY LIVES GUNS HAVE SAVED YET?

Or is this just another intellectually dishonest summary on the existence of evil guns?
2/1/13 2:22 PM
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Cotton 410 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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You anti-gun losers should move to France.
2/1/13 2:24 PM
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dabigchet Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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" Why do you think there is such intensity among people who want to ban assault weapons? (this isn't a rhetorical question, I'm genuinely asking your opinion"

because of their involvement in mass shootings. they appear to be good for that sort of thing.
2/1/13 2:29 PM
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Sagiv Lapkin 1436 The total sum of your votes up and votes down Send Private Message Add Comment To Profile

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dabigchet - " Why do you think there is such intensity among people who want to ban assault weapons? (this isn't a rhetorical question, I'm genuinely asking your opinion"

because of their involvement in mass shootings. they appear to be good for that sort of thing.

But when looking at gun violence in general, they make up a tiny fraction of the weapons that are used. The overwhelming majority are handguns. Why focus on the smaller and more insignificant part of "the problem"?


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