Thiago Alves had a tough start in MMA, losing his first two pro fights, back in 2001. In time, he put together a ferocious seven-fight win streak, that earned him an ultimately failed shot at SGP's welterweight title. In his three fights since, his sole win was over John Howard, who is no longer with the organization.
That's the bad news. The good news is that in Papy Abedi 'Pit Bull' has an opponent who will likely stand and trade, and that should result in a win for Alves. But if he doesn't - and in this sport anything can happen which is why you have the fight - could UFC 138 see Alves leaving the UFC?
More likely candidates for the cut list include:
Eddie Faaloloto (2-2, 0-1 UFC)
(vs. Terry Etim)
Faaloloto is winless under the Zuffa banner, having dropped back-to-back fights to Anthony Njokuani in the WEC and then Michael Johnson in the UFC. Now he has to fight in a Brit in Britain.
Anthony Perosh (11-6, 1-3 UFC)
(vs. Cyrille Diabate)
After an 0-2 bid back in 2006, the Aussie got back on the books by stepping up to fight Mirko "Cro Cop" Filipovic on short notice in Sydney. That didn't go well, but he rebounded with his first UFC win thanks to a submission over Tom Blackledge, and against Diabate he even gets to fight someone his own age.
Michihiro Omigawa (12-10-1, 0-4 UFC)
(vs. Jason Young)
If he loses he's almost guaranteed to find himself out of a job, but this is a very winnable fight for Omigawa. The UFC would no doubt love to see him stick around long enough to help out with its Japanese invasion in 2012.
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