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UnderGround Forums >> Lupo Locks Need to Be A UG Sticky


10/27/11 10:25 AM
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rosario00
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Thanks; btw how accurate are you generally, do you make money? Phone Post
10/27/11 12:00 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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rosario00 -  Thanks; btw how accurate are you generally, do you make money? Phone Post

 I only had one net loss year (2006). My Bodog is better than my Etrade this year. I'm OK or slightly better than OK, but if there was a science to it, we'd all quit our day jobs. If you look at the thread, I've only had one shit ball event, some OK ones and a few great ones. I hit on a few +300 guys and gave my reasons.
10/27/11 12:46 PM
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duggy
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Lupo is great because he's full disclosure win or lose and always has sound reasoning for his picks Phone Post
10/29/11 3:04 AM
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NICK MANNING
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Bobby, I never parlay foots bases baskets or pucks, but I can get a Cowboy/Vera/Griffin parlay at Bookmaker for +132. You like that?
10/29/11 8:13 AM
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Bobby Lupo
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NICK MANNING - Bobby, I never parlay foots bases baskets or pucks, but I can get a Cowboy/Vera/Griffin parlay at Bookmaker for +132. You like that?
I'm playing all three individually. Although I think they'll all win, I find that Vera and Griffin aren't as consistent as I'd like them to be. I don't see Marshall being much of a problem and Bartimus should be a victim of wrestle fucking, I wouldn't trust those two in a parlay. It's more of a bad feeling than an educated guess. 
 
10/29/11 12:22 PM
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NICK MANNING
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Thanks Bobby.

You know Chris Camozzi is -135

Just sayin...
10/30/11 12:50 AM
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Team GDP
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came out $1.01 ahead. diaz saved me.
10/30/11 10:26 AM
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Bobby Lupo
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Edited: 10/31/11 10:49 AM
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 Came out ahead, thank you Kongo and the Mitrione hype machine. 
10/30/11 12:32 PM
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rosario00
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When Griffin missed weight by so much, I got worried.. He messed up my long parlays.. Luckily Hioki got the gift decision also.. Never again on Japanese fighters Phone Post
10/30/11 12:37 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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rosario00 -  When Griffin missed weight by so much, I got worried.. He messed up my long parlays.. Luckily Hioki got the gift decision also.. Never again on Japanese fighters Phone Post

 I bet on Griffin before the weight mess. I usually bet against IFL guys, like I do Japanese guys in the UFC, but last night was a good night for IFL stars. WTF with this Vera?

Stu p. Dasso's girl should post hers picks (not pics, I'm keeping this polite) she did better than any of us last night. Thankfully Kongo had good odds.
10/30/11 1:45 PM
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rosario00
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I still ended up $40 last night so it was pretty decent Phone Post
10/30/11 1:58 PM
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ryno_13
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Where you Americans placing your bets? My local guy only offers the Main or Co-Main on bigger PPV's.
10/30/11 2:56 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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ryno_13 - Where you Americans placing your bets? My local guy only offers the Main or Co-Main on bigger PPV's.

 I have a small account at Bodog.eu and I have a guy that I've been with for years. Ladbrokes and Paddy Power are limited. Your local bookie should be able to offshore for you
11/1/11 6:27 PM
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Team GDP
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Stu P Dasso - I'll battle back on 138. Wish the fkn odds were put already
odds are up now. i'm probably going to sit this weekend out.
11/2/11 5:57 PM
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BeiberFan
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Munoz and barao parlay. What do you think of the Leben Munoz fight BL? Phone Post
11/2/11 6:07 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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BeiberFan -  Munoz and barao parlay. What do you think of the Leben Munoz fight BL? Phone Post

 I like Leben in that one. I think Leben will have an easier time dealing with Munoz's wrestling than Mark will have with Leben's power. I didn't like the way Munoz was taking shots from Maia and showing damage. Leben just needs one to land kind of good and the fight goes sideways for Munoz. Munoz has to fight 25 perfect minutes. I go against my 'bet on the better wrestler' only because Leben has been training with top MMA wrestlers for his whole MMA career and he's got a lot of time to land a zombie bomb.
11/2/11 6:30 PM
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kylekanada
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Bobby Lupo - 
BeiberFan -  Munoz and barao parlay. What do you think of the Leben Munoz fight BL? <img alt="Phone Post" border="0" style="vertical-align:middle;" src="/images/phone/apple.png" />

 I like Leben in that one. I think Leben will have an easier time dealing with Munoz's wrestling than Mark will have with Leben's power. I didn't like the way Munoz was taking shots from Maia and showing damage. Leben just needs one to land kind of good and the fight goes sideways for Munoz. Munoz has to fight 25 perfect minutes. I go against my 'bet on the better wrestler' only because Leben has been training with top MMA wrestlers for his whole MMA career and he's got a lot of time to land a zombie bomb.


Thoughts on the rest of the card?
11/2/11 6:33 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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 I like Etim, Pickett and Cyrille. I don't know enough about the guy Alves is fighting. Leben at +200 is a nice get if you combine it with the two favorites and slight dog in Pickett.
11/2/11 6:55 PM
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kylekanada
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Thanks BL. I'm getting in on Leben at +200 right now in case the line changes...
11/2/11 7:02 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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kylekanada - Thanks BL. I'm getting in on Leben at +200 right now in case the line changes...

 I always look at the lines and try to think "What's wrong with this?" The answer is usually nothing, but Leben jumps out at me just like Kongo did for 137. When the guy I think is going to win is a dog, I jump on it.
11/2/11 7:06 PM
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Team GDP
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Bobby Lupo -  I like Etim, Pickett and Cyrille. I don't know enough about the guy Alves is fighting. Leben at +200 is a nice get if you combine it with the two favorites and slight dog in Pickett.
the pickett line opened at +160. unfortunately that was on bookmaker. he opened at -110 on bodog. i would have taken pickett at +160.

I was thinking that leben could take this fight and at +200 it's attractive. so maybe i will bet on this fight.
11/2/11 7:07 PM
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jjj2121
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 Co-sign on Leben being worth the investment.
11/2/11 7:08 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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Team GDP - 
Bobby Lupo -  I like Etim, Pickett and Cyrille. I don't know enough about the guy Alves is fighting. Leben at +200 is a nice get if you combine it with the two favorites and slight dog in Pickett.
the pickett line opened at +160. unfortunately that was on bookmaker. he opened at -110 on bodog. i would have taken pickett at +160.

I was thinking that leben could take this fight and at +200 it's attractive. so maybe i will bet on this fight.
I wish I would have seen that +160. 
 
11/2/11 7:14 PM
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Team GDP
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jjj2121 -  Co-sign on Leben being worth the investment.
nice. how was vegas?
11/2/11 8:26 PM
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rosario00
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hmm Im actually thinking Munoz just based on some of the scrubs that Leben has lost to and my wrestler first attitude towards bets.. just to offset parlay losses, ill prob throw some on Leben at those odds

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