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UnderGround Forums >> Lupo Locks Need to Be A UG Sticky


7/9/11 11:33 PM
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TrickyG
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Yeah, Haye was considerably ahead of Wlad by the time the lines closed in Britain, just lol @ that. ttt for Loopz' Lockz.
7/10/11 1:10 AM
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Bobby Lupo
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NICK MANNING - Bobby, I was leaning Wlad and you put the icing on the cake. You bet with your head and not your heart- something that 95% of the jamokes out there can't do. I, for one, appreciate your picks.

 Sakara, Karo, Marcus Davis, Baroni and Malignaggi are my Kryptonite, but JJJ can straighten me out when needed.

I couldn't get better than -200 on Wlad and then it started moving up to -270. What did Paddy Power have it at?
7/10/11 1:13 AM
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jjj2121
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Dr Violence - Haye was an underdog on every UK bookie I checked

 I'm just going off the HBO broadcast, I bet Wlad in the states at -210
7/10/11 1:14 AM
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jjj2121
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Bobby Lupo - 
NICK MANNING - Bobby, I was leaning Wlad and you put the icing on the cake. You bet with your head and not your heart- something that 95% of the jamokes out there can't do. I, for one, appreciate your picks.

 Sakara, Karo, Marcus Davis, Baroni and Malignaggi are my Kryptonite, but JJJ can straighten me out when needed.

I couldn't get better than -200 on Wlad and then it started moving up to -270. What did Paddy Power have it at?
As a duo we are unstoppable.  I was never as impressed by Sakara until you turned me onto him.  That Weidman performance was very good, Weidman is just a stud wrestler and a future title challenger.  He will style on Jorge.
 
7/10/11 1:21 AM
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Dr Violence
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jjj2121 - 
Dr Violence - Haye was an underdog on every UK bookie I checked

 I'm just going off the HBO broadcast, I bet Wlad in the states at -210
Yeah it was Larry Merchant right? Making stories up inside his crazy old head.
7/10/11 1:24 AM
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jjj2121
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Dr Violence - 
jjj2121 - 
Dr Violence - Haye was an underdog on every UK bookie I checked

 I'm just going off the HBO broadcast, I bet Wlad in the states at -210
Yeah it was Larry Merchant right? Making stories up inside his crazy old head.
I don't think it was him, think it was Lampley but to be honest I'm not sure.  Anyway Wlad at -210 was a fukin bargain
 
7/10/11 1:35 AM
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Dr Violence
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Bookmakers are expecting to take a small fortune when David Haye clashes with Wladimir Klitschko on July 2.

Haye will meet the Ukrainian giant in Hamburg in the most eagerly-awaited heavyweight fight for years.

And Hills alone are expecting to turn over a cool £5million for the big showdown in Germany.

The Leeds-based firm say the vast majority of bets so far have gone on a Haye victory (11/8), while Klitschko remains their 4/7 favourite.

They say biggest liabilities are for the Brit to win on points at 7/1, or Klitschko to prevail inside a round (20/1).

Spokesman Joe Crilly said: "We are expecting turnover to reach £5million and we appear to be well on the way to that target. As it stands, a Haye victory would be a huge KO for us."

Meanwile, Coral make Klitschko a 1/2 favourite, with Haye a 6/4 chance and the draw 28s.

Spokesman Gary Burton said: "Although we make Klitschko the favourite, we expect to see a closely-fought contest, and with betting available throughout the fight, the longer it goes the better.

"We expect business to exceed the Hatton-Pacquiao fight of two years ago, meaning an industry turnover in excess of £5million."

Bet365 say that punters are betting with their heads rather than their hearts, with most plumping for a Klitschko victory (8/15 from 4/7).

Spokesman Steve Freeth said: "David Haye has beaten the odds before, but there aren't many punters in his corner for the bout against Wladimir Klitschko - 90 percent of the business we've taken is for the big Ukrainian." 

7/11/11 5:39 AM
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PosterBoyOwnsMe2
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I shall use your betting advice Phone Post
7/11/11 6:35 AM
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mister_sticks
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Mods, u kno wat to do. Phone Post
7/13/11 10:03 PM
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NTXMMAjunky
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Is Tito going to be a big payout again? Hmmmmmm Phone Post
7/13/11 10:10 PM
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MJM1912
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TTT for Lupo.
7/13/11 11:03 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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NTXMMAjunky -  Is Tito going to be a big payout again? Hmmmmmm Phone Post

 I don't know. I hate when I get emotionally invested in a feel good story. Rashad was preparing for a guy in Davis, who at this point is better at everything that Tito brings to this fight than Tito himself. I think Tito beat Bader because Bader seems to be a bit on the nervous side and doesn't perform to 100%; this isn't a problem with Rashad. Tito probably won't have the same looseness in his striking as he had against Bader because of Rashad's excellent hands for MMA and this won't give Tito the same opportunity to land something hard. Tito will likely use the high chamber/guard like he did in the Chuck fights in order to block shots. When he does this, he fights much more defensive minded and if that's the case, he'll pose no threat to Rashad.

The 2007 fight should have no bearing on this other than giving Tito something to motivate himself with. I see Rashad using his boxing and movement to win a fairly easy 30-27 decision. I think Tito will lose steam as the fight goes on, but will have his moments where he shows that he's still relevant in the division. 

Tito peaked for Bader and caught lightning in a bottle. Rashad might have some rust, but he was training for absolute top guys and will be more than ready.
7/13/11 11:14 PM
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Dr Violence
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I think Rashad has more underlying confidence issues than Bader. He almost never lets go at 100% and usually takes just enough risk to win, hence all the decisions.  
7/13/11 11:20 PM
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smth416
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 I agree almost completely with your analysis. 

The line on this fight is too steep for me though and I would only bet on Rashad if anything
7/17/11 7:37 PM
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jjj2121
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 My guy has a line out, I think Oddessa has been reading every post of this thread and taken the sage advice of Mr. Lupo as well as my own.

Aug 06 2417 ALESSIO SAKARA -155    
  9:10 PM 2418 JORGE RIVERA +125  

7/17/11 8:34 PM
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jjj2121
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Edited: 07/17/11 8:44 PM
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FreeGSTQ/iLoveThePosterboy - 
jjj2121 -  My guy has a line out, I think Oddessa has been reading every post of this thread and taken the sage advice of Mr. Lupo as well as my own.

Aug 06 2417 ALESSIO SAKARA -155    
  9:10 PM 2418 JORGE RIVERA +125  


 jorge is a GREAT bet



putting 75 on him to make 100
Like it even more now that you are on the other side.

PS 75 at +125 does not win 100, but you don't need to worry about that because Rivera will not win.
7/17/11 8:42 PM
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sakurabas ear
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Subbed for the education Phone Post
7/17/11 8:50 PM
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jjj2121
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 75 at +145 is not $100 either.  It's more.

Signed,
Dude who knows more about this than you.
7/17/11 9:06 PM
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jjj2121
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FreeGSTQ/iLoveThePosterboy - 
jjj2121 -  75 at +145 is not $100 either.  It's more.

Signed,
Dude who knows more about this than you.

 92.50 is an educated guess from me but i might be wrong




Ya feel like a big man ya penny pinching mutt

 not even close.
7/17/11 9:15 PM
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Team GDP
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75 at +133 is 99.75 and 75 at +134 is 100.50
7/17/11 9:18 PM
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jjj2121
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Team GDP - 75 at +133 is 99.75 and 75 at +134 is 100.50

 Hey somebody who understands the lines and what they payout,. can you stay for a little bit?  Maybe tutor our friend?
7/17/11 9:49 PM
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Team GDP
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jjj2121 - 
Team GDP - 75 at +133 is 99.75 and 75 at +134 is 100.50

 Hey somebody who understands the lines and what they payout,. can you stay for a little bit?  Maybe tutor our friend?


okay this is super secret so everybody keep this on the DL.

so if a moneyline is positive ie +150 you turn +150 into a decimal (1.5) by dividing by 100 (150/100 = 1.5). Then you times your bet e.g. $50 by the decimal 1.5 . and you get your profit 75. or you add 1 to the decimal =2.5 and you get your profit + original stake back. (50 x 2.5 = 125)

now if a moneyline is negative ie -125 you turn -125 into a decimal (.8) by dividing 100 by the moneyline (100/125 =.8) Then you times your bet e.g. $50 by the decimal 0.8 and you get your profit $40. or you can add 1 to the decimal = 1.8 and you get your profit + original stake back (50 X 1.8 =90)

also for a negative moneyline ie -125 you can divide it by 100 = 1.25 then hit the 1/x button on your calculator which will give you 0.8.


now if that is too hard you can go to

http://www.bestfightodds.com/

in the top right corner there is a dropdown box where it says moneyline, you can click it and change it to decimal (the decimal it gives you is profit + original stake) or you can select "return on" then you enter the amount you wish to bet and it tells you how much you will profit.


what is also cool about best fight odds is they have a parlay function where you can see how much you would profit by utilizing a parlay bet.
7/17/11 10:18 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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FreeGSTQ/iLoveThePosterboy -  Lupo locks are for chumps and weasels



Jorge will easily KO sakara
You got the big mouth? How we put up $100 each at even odds and I take you money.

Sakara makes this thing look easy. I am so sure of this.
 
7/17/11 10:20 PM
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jjj2121
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Edited: 07/17/11 10:21 PM
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Bobby Lupo - 
FreeGSTQ/iLoveThePosterboy -  Lupo locks are for chumps and weasels



Jorge will easily KO sakara
You got the big mouth? How we put up $100 each at even odds and I take you money.

Sakara makes this thing look easy. I am so sure of this.
 
Mozzaball'd.

He won't do it, he never backs up his bullshit.  Has been asked to post screen caps of bets, bet cash, he never does.  He called me out on a thread looking to bet and tucked before I even got a chance to respond.  He fucking tucked on his own callout thread.

All show, no go.
  
7/18/11 12:11 AM
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Markos
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Team GDP - 

jjj2121 - 
Team GDP - 75 at +133 is 99.75 and 75 at +134 is 100.50

 Hey somebody who understands the lines and what they payout,. can you stay for a little bit?  Maybe tutor our friend?


okay this is super secret so everybody keep this on the DL.

so if a moneyline is positive ie +150 you turn +150 into a decimal (1.5) by dividing by 100 (150/100 = 1.5). Then you times your bet e.g. $50 by the decimal 1.5 . and you get your profit 75. or you add 1 to the decimal =2.5 and you get your profit + original stake back. (50 x 2.5 = 125)

now if a moneyline is negative ie -125 you turn -125 into a decimal (.8) by dividing 100 by the moneyline (100/125 =.8) Then you times your bet e.g. $50 by the decimal 0.8 and you get your profit $40. or you can add 1 to the decimal = 1.8 and you get your profit + original stake back (50 X 1.8 =90)

also for a negative moneyline ie -125 you can divide it by 100 = 1.25 then hit the 1/x button on your calculator which will give you 0.8.


now if that is too hard you can go to

http://www.bestfightodds.com/

in the top right corner there is a dropdown box where it says moneyline, you can click it and change it to decimal (the decimal it gives you is profit + original stake) or you can select "return on" then you enter the amount you wish to bet and it tells you how much you will profit.


what is also cool about best fight odds is they have a parlay function where you can see how much you would profit by utilizing a parlay bet.


clean explanation. thanks man

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