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11/14/12 6:44 AM
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Woodford Mike
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Thinking about taking a small flyer on Hendricks wins in rd1, but I dont see it offered on 5dimes. The thought being that Kampmann is a notorious slow starter and with Hendricks' heavy hands maybe he can put him away early.

That would be the only bet I lay on this fight (assuming 5dimes offers the damn thing come fight night)as I have no friggin clue who wins otherwise.

Just a thought.
11/14/12 6:55 AM
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Bobby Lupo
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NorthFromHere - Costa will put a beating on Ring who should be 1-3 in his last four instead of 3-1 that his official record shows. Ring lost to Fukuda and McGhee imo.

I can't bet this fight. I avoid betting fights with local guys (except Weidman) because I can't objectively judge them. With Costa, I thought 'Nice guy, good kickboxer, too bad they gave him Rivera in his first UFC fight" and then he comes in and smashes Jorge and has looked great since.

Don't bet on locals, you'll either under or over rate them, but never accurately judge them if you saw them coming up.

I'm doing pre weigh in picks today, but giving myself some wiggle room in case someone looks like a zombie during weighins
11/14/12 11:04 AM
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BrCutter
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Woodford Mike - Thinking about taking a small flyer on Hendricks wins in rd1, but I dont see it offered on 5dimes. The thought being that Kampmann is a notorious slow starter and with Hendricks' heavy hands maybe he can put him away early.

That would be the only bet I lay on this fight (assuming 5dimes offers the damn thing come fight night)as I have no friggin clue who wins otherwise.

Just a thought.

See, I'm way down for that Hendricks bet.  It's three rounds.  He's going to launch that fuckin left hand which has concrete in it.  Kampmann takes punches.  We'll get great numbers for that line too given the risk.  

11/14/12 11:05 AM
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BrCutter
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I'm with Loops, I really really like to see weigh ins.  It's not every time, but every now and then, yes, there's that dude that is a zombie and tried his best to act like he's not in a rush to get the pedialite.  

11/14/12 11:06 AM
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BrCutter
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Somebody else vote loops up so he's even.  I just spent mine for today. 

11/14/12 11:15 AM
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UGCTT_El Pescadero
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BrCutter -

Somebody else vote loops up so he's even.  I just spent mine for today. 

Lol... Done Phone Post
11/15/12 7:56 PM
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raags
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Hendricks wins in round one @ +500 hedged with Kampmann by dec @ +250?...

I don't think Philippou is a better finisher than Boetsch who didn't finish Ring - I like the line on that fight to go to Dec. @ -180.

GSP by unanimous decision @ -115 on Sportbet is a good bet too.

Sakara by dec. looks like it may be good depending on line
11/15/12 8:26 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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Sakara is having a hard weight cut. Phone Post
11/15/12 8:29 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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I like GSP to finish.
Ring by decision
Hendricks by finish
Cote by doing what every heavy hitter does in a Sakara fight Phone Post
11/15/12 8:44 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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Just beg all the Canadians Phone Post
11/15/12 8:44 PM
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Bobby Lupo
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Bet Phone Post
11/15/12 9:23 PM
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BrCutter
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Negative, Sakara is supposedly having a rough cut and I know Lups is diehard Sakara, but facts are facts.  

 

11/15/12 9:33 PM
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Sketchd
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Kampmann by Decision - +320

Kampmann by Decision or KO - +190

 

Bet heavy

11/15/12 9:33 PM
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HalfThisGameIs90PercentMental
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Bobby Lupo - I like GSP to finish.
Ring by decision
Hendricks by finish
Cote by doing what every heavy hitter does in a Sakara fight Phone Post
I like these pics do you do parlays mostly? Phone Post
11/15/12 10:09 PM
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Sketchd
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HalfThisGameIs90PercentMental -
Bobby Lupo - I like GSP to finish.
Ring by decision
Hendricks by finish
Cote by doing what every heavy hitter does in a Sakara fight Phone Post
I like these pics do you do parlays mostly? Phone Post
Condit by finish
Costa by finish
Kampmann by decision
Sakara by decision Phone Post
11/16/12 6:39 AM
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Bobby Lupo
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HalfThisGameIs90PercentMental - 
Bobby Lupo - I like GSP to finish.
Ring by decision
Hendricks by finish
Cote by doing what every heavy hitter does in a Sakara fight Phone Post
I like these pics do you do parlays mostly? Phone Post

I hardly ever do parlays.I really dislike them. I usually advocate only betting on the guy that you KNOW (in your mind) are going to win.

I'm trying to make up for the Macao Massacare, so I'll be taking more dogs are betting on modes of finish. I'm gambling now more than usual, but that's part of the fun in this.

11/16/12 6:48 AM
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Bobby Lupo
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pj_benn - 
Bobby Lupo - I like GSP to finish.
Ring by decision
Hendricks by finish
Cote by doing what every heavy hitter does in a Sakara fight Phone Post
WTF was your accnt hacked? I can't believe you said that about sakara! Phone Post

He will always be my favorite fighter, but I'm prepared to have my heart broken once again. 

I'm happy that I can read Italian. He sounds depressed about making weight for this fight, is having a tough cut, posting on Facebook about how cutting to 185 is so much harder now.

I think that after the knee injury rehab he got into the best shape of his life when he trained with the rugby S&C coach. He put on a lot of muscle and was over 215lbs and solid. At the start of the Stann camp (I think he was 224 IIRC) he looked like a monster, then somewhere in the process of making weight, that all went away. I think the cut was too hard for that fight and he tried to get Stann out of there quick because he wasn't physically right, and that backfired. I fear for a repeat of that. 

Sakara should beat Cote--he's far more skilled standing and a BJJ BB. Cote has an incredible chin, so I don't think he will be finished standing. That leaves the only option for a Sakara win as a decision...in Cote's home town.Alessio will not want to leave it to the judges (hometown, plus hard weight cut) so he'll be looking for a shootout. Good for the fans, bad for the Sakara bettors.

11/16/12 6:59 AM
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HalfThisGameIs90PercentMental
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Bobby Lupo -
HalfThisGameIs90PercentMental - 
Bobby Lupo - I like GSP to finish.
Ring by decision
Hendricks by finish
Cote by doing what every heavy hitter does in a Sakara fight Phone Post
I like these pics do you do parlays mostly? Phone Post

I hardly ever do parlays.I really dislike them. I usually advocate only betting on the guy that you KNOW (in your mind) are going to win.

I'm trying to make up for the Macao Massacare, so I'll be taking more dogs are betting on modes of finish. I'm gambling now more than usual, but that's part of the fun in this.

Yeah I try and avoid them as well it's not easy. I'm going to take your picks this week for the hell of it. :) please post your tickets. Phone Post
11/17/12 2:39 AM
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WillyMaunawili
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ttt!

Gonna take a chance on Condit Phone Post
11/17/12 9:24 AM
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HalfThisGameIs90PercentMental
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TTT for lupo final say :) lol Phone Post
11/17/12 9:57 AM
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mister_sticks
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Bobby Lupo -
pj_benn - 
Bobby Lupo - I like GSP to finish.
Ring by decision
Hendricks by finish
Cote by doing what every heavy hitter does in a Sakara fight Phone Post
WTF was your accnt hacked? I can't believe you said that about sakara! Phone Post

He will always be my favorite fighter, but I'm prepared to have my heart broken once again. 

I'm happy that I can read Italian. He sounds depressed about making weight for this fight, is having a tough cut, posting on Facebook about how cutting to 185 is so much harder now.

I think that after the knee injury rehab he got into the best shape of his life when he trained with the rugby S&C coach. He put on a lot of muscle and was over 215lbs and solid. At the start of the Stann camp (I think he was 224 IIRC) he looked like a monster, then somewhere in the process of making weight, that all went away. I think the cut was too hard for that fight and he tried to get Stann out of there quick because he wasn't physically right, and that backfired. I fear for a repeat of that. 

Sakara should beat Cote--he's far more skilled standing and a BJJ BB. Cote has an incredible chin, so I don't think he will be finished standing. That leaves the only option for a Sakara win as a decision...in Cote's home town.Alessio will not want to leave it to the judges (hometown, plus hard weight cut) so he'll be looking for a shootout. Good for the fans, bad for the Sakara bettors.

Bobby's picks have done me relatively well in the past (well, the Macao wasn't too great but that's why it's called gambling, innit?), so TTT for his final say. Phone Post
11/17/12 10:51 AM
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Bobby Lupo
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I'm going all Canadian. Hendricks. Phone Post
11/17/12 11:00 AM
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BrCutter
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I put mine in this morning. Will post. Phone Post
11/17/12 12:08 PM
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HalfThisGameIs90PercentMental
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Bobby Lupo - I'm going all Canadian. Hendricks. Phone Post
Str8 bets? Phone Post
11/17/12 1:57 PM
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BrCutter
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Cote straight up over Sakara for $300

Carmont over Lawlor for $300

Hendricks inside the distnace for $50 at +115

 

Notes:

Kampmann gets hit a lot and Hendricks has a brick in hisleft hand. I may add onto that with another bet.

 

GSP shoul be fine and I don't see him losing, but I don't feel strongly enough about it. He hasn't fought in so long and neither has Condit. GSP is going without the jackson gameplan....and as hard a time people give him, he's still very very good at it. Instead, Condit gets that gameplan. There's a reason Firas still thought it was a good idea that Jackson/Winklejon take the lead in previous fights.  That said, I think Firas is awesome! so......  just watching!
 

Got some more thinking to do, but man, Cote is my super pick of the night and I really like Carmont.  


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