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4/21/14 12:10 AM
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ChrispyPicks
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Casehearts: I'll post in your next thread for fun though. You probably know my back story straight Vegas MGM/Cesars bets. But always a fun debate and all 3 of us have a common interest; so count me in. Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:10 AM
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Milk Machine
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ChrispyPicks - I'll step in and say GuidaClayAllDay is the only guy I give props for his picks. He sticks by them, always shares them with you guys, and doesn't cherry pick the -800 favorites.

Not every card you will win on, it's a hobby (or profession for some). Win some,lose some, just have fun with it. Phone Post 3.0
Chrispy is pretty legit. I follow some better people on real places but you do well. The last 3 months ive out bet luca tho Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:11 AM
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GuidaClayAllDay
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Caseharts  I have seen many people get burned with paypal bets without a trustworthy escrow, especially if the bets are in the 4-5 figure range but I will take a look.

4/21/14 12:11 AM
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caseharts
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ChrispyPicks - Casehearts: I'll post in your next thread for fun though. You probably know my back story straight Vegas MGM/Cesars bets. But always a fun debate and all 3 of us have a common interest; so count me in. Phone Post 3.0
Ya join in. We have wild prop and parlay bets in my threads. In about making money but mostly I want to enjoy the event and it makes it hilariously fun. I'll see you there Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:12 AM
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caseharts
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GuidaClayAllDay -

Caseharts  I have seen many people get burned with paypal bets without a trustworthy escrow, especially if the bets are in the 4-5 figure range but I will take a look.

I understand we aren't doing that large. We have a community. If we don't know you we don't bet most of the time. Also you don't have to bet you can check out the whole thing. It's fir fun. We pick seriously and have research but it's definitely fir the journey. Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:13 AM
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Milk Machine
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caseharts -
Milk Machine -
caseharts -
ChrispyPicks - I'll step in and say GuidaClayAllDay is the only guy I give props for his picks. He sticks by them, always shares them with you guys, and doesn't cherry pick the -800 favorites.

Not every card you will win on, it's a hobby (or profession for some). Win some,lose some, just have fun with it. Phone Post 3.0
I'm the best picker. Come to my paypal threads. But you and the king of this thread are great. You've picked some great upsets. I still challenge you both. Phone Post 3.0
Me and you are 2-2 on paypal bets i believe but you got better odds on 1 and are up 5-10 on me Phone Post 3.0
You gotta come bet with me. The last few events have been wild fun.

You'll see me make a thread every event. Phone Post 3.0
Do you have one thread? Im not here enough anymore to look for your thread every week. Plus i actually bet so not real concerned about here Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:14 AM
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teamquestnorth
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GuidaClayAllDay -

Caseharts  I have seen many people get burned with paypal bets without a trustworthy escrow, especially if the bets are in the 4-5 figure range but I will take a look.

No ones betting 4 or 5 figures on pay pal bets on here. I dont think anyone would be that dumb.

We usually make smaller bets. Adds alot of excitement to an otherwise dull card. I dont think anyones looking to get rich and retire early or anything.

It is fun and you should check it out though. Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:17 AM
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caseharts
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Milk Machine -
caseharts -
Milk Machine -
caseharts -
ChrispyPicks - I'll step in and say GuidaClayAllDay is the only guy I give props for his picks. He sticks by them, always shares them with you guys, and doesn't cherry pick the -800 favorites.

Not every card you will win on, it's a hobby (or profession for some). Win some,lose some, just have fun with it. Phone Post 3.0
I'm the best picker. Come to my paypal threads. But you and the king of this thread are great. You've picked some great upsets. I still challenge you both. Phone Post 3.0
Me and you are 2-2 on paypal bets i believe but you got better odds on 1 and are up 5-10 on me Phone Post 3.0
You gotta come bet with me. The last few events have been wild fun.

You'll see me make a thread every event. Phone Post 3.0
Do you have one thread? Im not here enough anymore to look for your thread every week. Plus i actually bet so not real concerned about here Phone Post 3.0
We usually make one every event it keeps it from being super congested. Sorry if that's a bit much but if you're on a day before or if the event you'll see it. Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:17 AM
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caseharts
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teamquestnorth -
GuidaClayAllDay -

Caseharts  I have seen many people get burned with paypal bets without a trustworthy escrow, especially if the bets are in the 4-5 figure range but I will take a look.

No ones betting 4 or 5 figures on pay pal bets on here. I dont think anyone would be that dumb.

We usually make smaller bets. Adds alot of excitement to an otherwise dull card. I dont think anyones looking to get rich and retire early or anything.

It is fun and you should check it out though. Phone Post 3.0
Good seeing fellow bettor in here. We need a to name our crew Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:20 AM
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Milk Machine
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ChrispyPicks -
caseharts -
ChrispyPicks - I'll step in and say GuidaClayAllDay is the only guy I give props for his picks. He sticks by them, always shares them with you guys, and doesn't cherry pick the -800 favorites.

Not every card you will win on, it's a hobby (or profession for some). Win some,lose some, just have fun with it. Phone Post 3.0
I'm the best picker. Come to my paypal threads. But you and the king of this thread are great. You've picked some great upsets. I still challenge you both. Phone Post 3.0
Not trying to hijack his thread but your the No DQ, split decision paypal guy right?

Most title fights or descent fights go SD so what's the point? By hook or by crook, a win is a win. Phone Post 3.0
Yeah thats a weird incorrect statement. Google it and find the real answer. Its in reed kuhns book but im not spending the time on that Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:39 AM
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Milk Machine
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caseharts -
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GuidaClayAllDay -

Caseharts  I have seen many people get burned with paypal bets without a trustworthy escrow, especially if the bets are in the 4-5 figure range but I will take a look.

No ones betting 4 or 5 figures on pay pal bets on here. I dont think anyone would be that dumb.

We usually make smaller bets. Adds alot of excitement to an otherwise dull card. I dont think anyones looking to get rich and retire early or anything.

It is fun and you should check it out though. Phone Post 3.0
Good seeing fellow bettor in here. We need a to name our crew Phone Post 3.0
Honestly you two spend so much time on it and done actually bet? I figured you guys did both. Get on a sportsbook Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 12:41 AM
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caseharts
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Milk Machine -
caseharts -
teamquestnorth -
GuidaClayAllDay -

Caseharts  I have seen many people get burned with paypal bets without a trustworthy escrow, especially if the bets are in the 4-5 figure range but I will take a look.

No ones betting 4 or 5 figures on pay pal bets on here. I dont think anyone would be that dumb.

We usually make smaller bets. Adds alot of excitement to an otherwise dull card. I dont think anyones looking to get rich and retire early or anything.

It is fun and you should check it out though. Phone Post 3.0
Good seeing fellow bettor in here. We need a to name our crew Phone Post 3.0
Honestly you two spend so much time on it and done actually bet? I figured you guys did both. Get on a sportsbook Phone Post 3.0
I don't trust books with my money Phone Post 3.0
4/21/14 1:56 AM
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ChrispyPicks
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caseharts -
Milk Machine -
caseharts -
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GuidaClayAllDay -

Caseharts  I have seen many people get burned with paypal bets without a trustworthy escrow, especially if the bets are in the 4-5 figure range but I will take a look.

No ones betting 4 or 5 figures on pay pal bets on here. I dont think anyone would be that dumb.

We usually make smaller bets. Adds alot of excitement to an otherwise dull card. I dont think anyones looking to get rich and retire early or anything.

It is fun and you should check it out though. Phone Post 3.0
Good seeing fellow bettor in here. We need a to name our crew Phone Post 3.0
Honestly you two spend so much time on it and done actually bet? I figured you guys did both. Get on a sportsbook Phone Post 3.0
I don't trust books with my money Phone Post 3.0
I don't either. If your in the states good luck getting a 5 digit payout. I have buddies who have in the past, with Sportsbook and Betus, but now forget it. The IRS don't play. I heard stories last month in Vegas about some nice surprise W-2g forms with payouts. (Could be rumors but would not surprise me in the least)

Hard to find guys that won't welsh, but I have ran into a bunch of your posts so I think you got the market covered. It makes the fights more fun, and interesting. Phone Post 3.0
4/25/14 5:47 PM
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ArmourHotdog
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Picks? Phone Post 3.0
4/25/14 10:22 PM
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GuidaClayAllDay
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No picks for UFC 172, check back for picks for Brown vs Silva

4/25/14 10:23 PM
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caseharts
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GuidaClayAllDay -

No picks for UFC 172, check back for picks for Brown vs Silva

Why bro Phone Post 3.0
4/25/14 10:52 PM
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Ohman a MMA fan
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Yancy Medeiros
Jessamyn Duke
Max Halloway
Isaac Vallie Flagg
Joseph benavidez
Luke Rockhold Phone Post 3.0
5/1/14 1:52 AM
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cadamb41
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Sites like Tapology and cagerank mixed with the odds give me a great way of seeing the publics overall view. Then get a 6 pack and youtube the hell out of every guy. I then make my picks of the total card. All my upsets I do a variation for. True fans will be able to make 6-8 solid make it or break it picks. I do 8 usually then ill add in my upsets which are usualy 3-4 fights. I then will play a 10-12 team parlay for dirt cheap with huge payout. I burn money to make it but most of the time ill either not play or take $25 and split it up. when alvarez beat chandler I won $750 off 25. theres been a lot of 150s or 300s, but I won 600 on the werdum card. If Hendricks woulda won against GSP like he should have I would banked 3900 off of $30. Id much rather play like this because I don't see the since in putting down 50 to win 110 unless ur just well off. #1 reason tho is it keeps my wife off my ass.
5/10/14 1:58 AM
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GuidaClayAllDay
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Edited: 05/10/14 1:58 AM
Member Since: 10/22/10
Posts: 164
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No plays for UFN 40. Been busy laying out plans for a free website that I'm putting together. Stay tuned for future plays.

5/10/14 3:44 AM
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caseharts
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GuidaClayAllDay -

No plays for UFN 40. Been busy laying out plans for a free website that I'm putting together. Stay tuned for future plays.

Cmom Phone Post 3.0
5/23/14 9:53 PM
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GuidaClayAllDay
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UFC 173 plays will be up between 10am and 12pm eastern time on Saturday.

5/23/14 9:58 PM
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bricht07
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GuidaClayAllDay -

FRAT

Hello UG. I have been making wagers on Mixed Martial Arts bouts since 2007. My bets per MMA event have recently been ranging from 4-5 figures depending on how much positive expected value I perceive in the respective betting line.

I am writing this post today because after nearly 6 years of betting on MMA, I believe I have a skill that can generate income and a skill that others would pay for to reap the benefits. The annual returns on my bets have been outstanding and I am confident in saying that people following my wagers can achieve at least a 10% return on their investment annually (making the same wagers).

I was very active posting my picks/opinions on message boards when I started betting but quickly realized that the sportsbetting revolves around keeping prized information to oneself. The more people who know how to beat sportsbetting, the less opportunities there are to capitalize on. So as I continued to refine my skills, I made the choice to keep my betting strategy to myself (a strategy that now consists of a combination of statistics and handicapping). Up until now I would occasionally post my picks on forums I that I frequent (I moderate the mmajunkie wagering forum) But I am now looking to sell my plays to those who are interested, and will be posting my picks on this thread for the next 6+ months for free.

The sports betting industry has many con-artists, scammers, and liars. I am adamant that I go about doing this the no-bullshit way. Here is it how it is going to work:

On fight day, when betting limits are the highest and lines are generally the tightest, I am going to screenshot the available lines from 5dimes (pinnacle or 5dimes reduced will likely have even better lines to choose from) around noon eastern time. I am going to post my picks and the recommended % of bankroll you should wager. The total % of bankroll wagered per event will never exceed 20%. I will never edit the posts that announce my plays. I will also be tweeting my plays on my twitter @guidaclayallday (https://twitter.com/GuidaClayAllDay) when they are up. Both measures will serve as proof that there is no foul play going on, and the keen observers on the UG will likely be doing their own due diligence as well.

This first post will be edited to reflect the changes in the total bankroll, to add relevant information, and to update the plays with the newest ones that I posted on this thread.

I am happy to answer any questions you may have depending on the topic (sans betting strategy and sans where to bet, please make sure it is legal where you live) Otherwise, feel free to subscribe to this thread and/or follow me on twitter. I am very excited for this opportunity.

Thanks,

Todd

Your "bankroll" is 100 denominations of whatever amount you feel comfortable betting with. We are going to refer to these denominations as 100 units or 100u. After each event, take your new total and divide by 100, as your wagering size will change after each event. 100u is the starting point.

(updated for newest plays/results)

UFC on Fox 11 Results:

 

 

Lol you got 100% of your bets wrong Phone Post 3.0
5/24/14 10:39 AM
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GuidaClayAllDay
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UFC 173 plays:

6/9/14 12:42 AM
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GuidaClayAllDay
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UFC 173 Results:

 

Check back for UFC 174 plays

6/9/14 12:53 AM
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caseharts
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Combat Skin
You miss too much value on the smaller cards Phone Post 3.0

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