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UnderGround Forums >> Fighters who Miss Weight Winning Percentage


3/20/13 11:07 AM
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IvanS61
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Here is a preview of the article

The MMA-Analysis tracked all UFC fights dating back to January 2011. Since 2011, there have been 18 fights in which a fighter has missed weight. In each of those cases, the fighter was given 1 hour to lose the excess pounds in order to make weight. In all of these situations, the fighter either could not lose the excess weight or chose not to lose any additional weight and thus forfeited part of his fight purse.

Here are the results of our research. The numbers are very telling:
•Missed weight fighter’s record: 5-13 (28% win percentage)
• Missed weight fighter opened as a betting favorite: 9 of 18 (50% of the fights)
•Missed weight fighter closed as a betting favorite: 6 of 18 (33% of the fights)

Anyone surprised by the numbers? I never would of thought the results were that lopsided. Chart detailing all 18 fights & other facts is below in the link

http://themma-analysis.com/2013/03/20/missing-weight-is-a-gamblers-dream/ Phone Post
3/20/13 11:09 AM
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Card
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Missed weight fighters are doing great in 2013.

 

3/20/13 11:12 AM
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BigWilliam
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I am not surprised. Most fighters that miss weight make a strong effort to get their and end up draining themselves in the process. They come out flat and don't have their normal stamina.
3/20/13 11:14 AM
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RickStorm
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Mixed Martial Arts LLC, Forum Admin

Not surprised really, but very Interesting to see stats

Thanks for posting it Ivan & Card

3/20/13 11:31 AM
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Herring In A Fur Coat
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FightMatrix.com, MMA Rankings

Not surprising to me at all.  Interesting stuff though.

3/20/13 11:36 AM
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Dogmeat 1
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If you did a little deeper you'll probably find a trend that fighters who try to cut too much weight, or drop down to a lower weight class after already cutting weight at the higher weight class, tend not to have the best records.

extreme weight cutting has as many or more disadvantages as it does advantages. It hurts a fighters conditioning, their power output, and their ability to take punishment. The time spent fighting their weight leading up to the fight could be spent better mentally or physically conditioning themselves. I've said this many times on this forum but fights records prove that it is actually better to move up a weight class rather than try to cut an extreme amount of weight.
3/20/13 12:05 PM
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JDV
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I would bet the same is true or even more lopsided for people who test positive for banned substances or performance enhancing drugs. Very rarely do you hear about the guy that won testing positive. Almost always seems to be the guy that lost.
3/20/13 12:58 PM
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ThaRide
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is there any data to see how a fighter performs in his first fight at a weight class lower than where he had previously performed?
3/20/13 1:14 PM
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IvanS61
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ThaRide - is there any data to see how a fighter performs in his first fight at a weight class lower than where he had previously performed?
We can try to research and find data but it'll take a while. Phone Post
3/20/13 1:17 PM
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IvanS61
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IvanS61 -
ThaRide - is there any data to see how a fighter performs in his first fight at a weight class lower than where he had previously performed?
We can try to research and find data but it'll take a while. Phone Post
Maybe we could do from 2011 to present. Get some decent numbers going. Phone Post

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