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MMA Wagering UnderGround >> Weekend Football Picks


9/2/05 11:51 PM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 02-Sep-05
Member Since: 01/01/2001
Posts: 220
 
Here are my weekend picks: Caveat -- I am 4-0 so far this week on football. That usually means (statistically) that I am due for some losses AND, against all experience and common knowledge, I am loading up on the road favorties. That said, here we go . . . 1. Tex A&M -2 - Clemson is a tough place to play, but AM has tough D, can score, and I feel will win a close game 2. Baylor -1 - SMU sucks, Baylor is improving steadily and will not let one of their few winnable games get away. 3. UTEP -10 - blew out NM St. last year and NMst is revamping offenses which usually causes problems initially. UTEP is strong and well-coached. They should roll. 4. Boston College -2.5 - BYU will look good and might win this home game. They might, but I'm willing to bet that BC is too strong defensively and too experienced on offense/line play. 5. Mizzou - 25 6. Michigan St -18.5 7. Va Tech -3.5 What do you think?
9/3/05 6:35 PM
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surfin joe
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
Member Since: 01/01/2001
Posts: 15696
I'll take TCU ML over OU for the limit.
9/3/05 6:54 PM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
Member Since: 06/08/2002
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JoeyOddessa.com
You made out ok, w/ that request at BetOddessa correct?  I approved it, but no idea if you followed through.
9/3/05 7:03 PM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
Member Since: 01/01/2001
Posts: 222
I ran absolutely wild today . . . wow. I've hit everything I've touched so far. IL, overs, etc., etc. I'm over here trying not to indulge in stupid last minute, JUNKIE betting behavior. I want to LOAD UP on UTEP tonight, but I'm not going to do it. Ryan, I hear what you're saying about NC St. I know they have a defense, but VT has a better defense and they can run the ball. VT will roll in the 2nd half.
9/3/05 7:22 PM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
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Posts: 3975
JoeyOddessa.com

I ran absolutely wild today . . . wow. I've hit everything I've touched so far. IL, overs, etc., etc.

Very kool.

I know recently alot of my posts have been generic, but I am hoping to increase the content of the wagering ground now that the Oddessa brand is behind it.  It would be nice if we could get valuable sports info in here.  I azm always pretty honest and dont sit on fence with opinions.  If I dont ant public 2 know what sides of game I am on, I just dont repond.  Silence makes no mistakes, lol. But anyone that knows me, knows I am pretty opinionated and not a bullshitter.

Anyways, I am on Syracuse 2mmrow for what its worth.  My only remaining play I made for the day so far.

I do like Jones, Cunningham 2nite in Boxing, but the numbers have moved so much that they lost allotta the value.  Hope your streak continues.

Thanks for posting in here.- Joey O

9/3/05 10:56 PM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
Member Since: 01/01/2001
Posts: 223
Joey Odessa, Hey man, you're certainly welcome!! Are you BS'ing me about Syracuse? I don't have a particular feeling about that game, but I'll lay some down on your tout! I lurk EVERYDAY on this site, and I always enjoy your posts the best. Seriously, I'm not even betting on your site right now (BUT I WILL AS SOON AS I GET MY MONEY BACK FROM THAT SITE), so it's not costing your business if I bet on the Orange and win! In a sentence or 2, why are you so high on SYR? Yeah dude, I'll be posting here all the time.
9/3/05 11:02 PM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
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Posts: 224
ttt
9/3/05 11:27 PM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
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Posts: 3978
JoeyOddessa.com

Honestly the football play is not my pick.  Someone I really really respect in the wagering world bet them.   He wins consistently year after year, so I follow him if I can find the same numbers he layed/took. With so many sports going on daily, its hard for me to have an opinion on them. I bet Golf and Nascar often and both guys I follow there are tremendous as well.  I can start posting a bit more  and maybe get them to drop by here and share their thoughts and plays.  They both kick the shit outa sportsbooks every year in their respective sports.

I do like Jones, Cunningham 2nite in Boxing, but the numbers have moved so much that they lost allotta the value. 

Now those 2 were my plays.

Cunningham won a 12 Round Ud @ -200 , and Jones just KO'ed Braithwaith in 4 RDS as a  +195 underdog. :)

Been a pretty good Saturday.  Catch you on here 2mmrow , hopefully high fiving a Syracuse win. Good luck.

9/3/05 11:47 PM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
Member Since: 01/01/2001
Posts: 225
One of my greatest weekends ever so far! If you look above, those picks are 5-1 ATS and the one loss was a f'ing debacle last-minute FG by Clemson. You wouldn't believe me if I told you what my record is so far on the weekend (o.k., I will anyway . . . 16-3 ATS with lots of parlays won). However, I KNOW this is about to turn around very soon. Great work on the Jones pick! wow. I think I'm gonna lay an slightly irresponsible bet on Syracuse. I think highly of WVU's coach Rodriguez, but he doesn't appear to have the athletes this year. Somebody new could step up, but I guess we'll have to see . . . Yeah, as I've said on another thread, if there's knowledgeable football talk going on -- I'm in.
9/4/05 12:00 AM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 03-Sep-05
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JoeyOddessa.com

I  figure if I can pick up 1 tip here or there on the forums its worth stoppin by.  If a contrasting opinion keeps you off a loser, its as good as winning.

Great job on the plays. 16-3 is hard act to improve on.  I dont need to tell you not to press and blow it all back.  Its a long ass season.

9/4/05 12:05 AM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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JoeyOddessa.com
BTW, I am sweating the under 39 in this GTech game.  20-14 with 9 Minutes left. I already have it marked a loser. If it wins, would be  a bonus on a great week.  Cuse play naturally wont affect the week much as its been a monster already.   But naturally, I wanna win them all. :)
9/4/05 12:08 AM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
Member Since: 01/01/2001
Posts: 226
GO ORANGE!!!!!!!!!!! GO ORANGE!!!!!!!!!!! GO ORANGE!!!!!!!!!!! GO ORANGE!!!!!!!!!!! GO ORANGE!!!!!!!!!!! GO ORANGE!!!!!!!!!!! GO ORANGE!!!!!!!!!!! GO ORANGE!!!!!!!!!!! lol. I got them at -2. What's the number for you?
9/4/05 12:13 AM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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Posts: 227
No crap, man. Even with all the good news, that A&M loss was extremely painful to me!! I had it rooted back to 2 different 3-game parlays (they would've paid off with a cover). RE: your GT under -- I think you played the right side (2 strong defenses and lots of running to keep the clock ticking), but I would never touch an under below 40 in college ball. Defensive and special team pts can push that over on accident . . . as you can see. you have a feeling on Louisville or VaTech games tomorrow? I want to bet both favorites, but Louisville has too many new faces, and NC St. always pulls some weird shit at home.
9/4/05 12:24 AM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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Posts: 228
I almost shit my pants vicariously for you on that GT interception!! Now let's have 3 running plays and a nice field goal to put this away . . . nice and easy now. Gotta love this football!
9/4/05 12:25 AM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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JoeyOddessa.com

2 Road teams laying chalk. Louisville has been sitten around that -23 number all week. VTech opened -6 and and it musta took some money to move it down to thecurrent -3.5. Its a revenge game because they lost in 2005 @ home if I'm not mistaken.  Wouldnt suprise me if VTech got late money again even though they are on the road. I am thinking Vtech may move back up. I'm not a big fan of laying  chalk like -23 on road, but who knows. I always worry about the back door TD. 

 

............3:40 left in GTech 20-14. Gtech got the ball on an INT, in scoring position. Hopefully they will opt to FG as it puttems up 9,which is as good as a TD, 2 scores, or just run it out.

 

 

9/4/05 12:28 AM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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Posts: 229
tick tick tick . . . that holding call was fab.
9/4/05 12:28 AM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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JoeyOddessa.com

LOL.......u read my mind on the Auburn game.  Run, Run, Run and dont break anything big.    FG wont hurt.

I layed 1.5 on Cuse. I saw -2.5 earler today. Dont think it will ever hit -3.  May even drop back to opener of -1 on post.

9/4/05 12:33 AM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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Posts: 230
I'm sitting here chewing my f'ing fingernails, and this game isn't even my concern!
9/4/05 12:41 AM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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what a nut-cutter!!!! whew. congratulations. Let's hope you stay hot tomorrow because I'm on board with the 'cuse -2!! I'll check in here tomorrow around halftime.
9/4/05 12:42 AM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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JoeyOddessa.com

INT. . LOL. 31 pts in 1st H and 6 in 2nd . It fell 37. Talk about a break, can't imagine how pissed I'd be  if I bet over.  Perfect ending.

:)

Catch u online 2mmrow for Cuse game.

9/4/05 12:51 PM
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surfin joe
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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Posts: 15697
Bagels- it went well. Fedex is just a bit slow because of the holiday. It should be here on Tues. Blue Cross is on me like a cheap suit. Thanks for your help and tell your staff I said thanks for being so cool with me.
9/4/05 2:21 PM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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Posts: 232
Syracuse's QB really needs to complete a pass downfield to open this game up. They're just stacking up on Rhodes at the line, and it's working. WVU is playing better than I though they would. Needless to say, there's lots of game left though . . . that means a lot of time for WVU to make repeated, bizarre, embarassing, and critical mistakes. It's strange . . . I can't remember ever rooting for SYR before. So far, so good.
9/4/05 3:21 PM
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daveswilley
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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Posts: 233
SYR is lucky this game isn't 24-7!! They got shoved around and the game is tied by some miracle TIME FOR A PEP TALK: . . . hang in there . . . defense wins championsips . . . let's see some hustle out there . . . you're gonna cry tomorrow, Michael . . . you're gonna cry tomorrow . . . this is our house . . . let's put this thing away now. . . etc.
9/4/05 4:36 PM
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Ruffdogg
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
Member Since: 01/28/2005
Posts: 3
hmm things ain't really looking too good for the 'cuse right now. Hopefully, things could get rolling in a few.
9/4/05 4:38 PM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 04-Sep-05
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JoeyOddessa.com
Yeh, this is one of them games that can boil down to a tough beat for WV.  The superstitious  side of me says pretend I need WV and somehow Cuse will find a way to win this.  lol

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