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MMA Wagering UnderGround >> NFL Week 3 trends


9/21/05 6:15 PM
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Oddessa
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Edited: 21-Sep-05
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New England attempts to avoid losing back-to-back games for the first time since 2002 when it faces unbeaten Pittsburgh on Sunday at Heinz Field.
The Steelers ended the Patriots' 18-game regular season winning streak last season with a convincing 34-10 home victory. Pittsburgh has captured 11 straight regular season home games (7-4 against the spread) since losing to Cincinnati two years ago, 24-20.

The Patriots have cashed 21 of their last 27 versus conference foes and 26 of 34 on grass. The defending champs are also 14-2 ATS after playing their last game on the highway.

The Steelers have clicked in eight of their last nine ATS following a double-digit win. They have also 'covered' seven straight after out-gaining their last opponent by 100 total yards or more.

Pittsburgh has been on the high side in 19 of its last 28 at home and in eight of its last nine in the Steel City during the first half of the season.

Trends and angles for the remainder of the Week 3 NFL schedule appear below.

TITANS at RAMS

Tennessee has cashed 11 of its last 13 on the road following a double-digit home win. The Titans have faltered in 10 of their last dozen on artificial turf. St. Louis has 'covered' seven straight at home coming off a division victory. The Rams have also come away with the cash in 15 of 19 at home after yielding 14 points or less. Tennessee has been on the high side in 24 of 33 versus NFC foes and St. Louis has followed suit in 28 of 42 against AFC rivals. The Rams have also jumped ‘over' the number in 17 of 22 against teams they face once a year.

RAIDERS at EAGLES

Oakland is 2-14 ATS during the first half of the season and 7-17 as underdogs. The Raiders have also stumbled in 15 of 18 when the total was between 42 1/2 and 49. Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS after out-gaining its last opponent by 100 total yards or more. The defending NFC champs have blown 'over' in six of seven at home versus AFC competition and at a 7-1-1 clip as home chalk of seven points or more. Oakland has zipped 'over' in its last seven games on grass. It's worth noting that the Raiders have dipped 'under' in their last nine games after playing Kansas City.

BENGALS at BEARS

Cincinnati has reversed its field this season, winning and cashing its initial pair of tests for the first time since 2001. The Bengals have gone 33-60 ATS during the first half of the season since 1992. Chicago was only 2-6 ATS in its last eight at home before Sunday's demolition of Detroit, 38-6. The Bears have slipped below the number in 16 of 22 as home dogs of three points or less. Cincinnati has gone 'over' in nine of 12 following a double-digit SU win. Conversely, the Bengals have taken the low road in 10 of 12 on the highway versus NFC foes.

9/21/05 6:16 PM
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Oddessa
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JAGUARS at JETS

Jacksonville has cashed six of its last nine on the road and eight of 11 as underdogs. The New York Jets are 8-4 in their last dozen as favorites. New York has slipped 'under' in seven of its last nine and in five of six when playing the second of back-to-back home games. The Jaguars have dipped below the limit in five of six on artificial turf.

SAINTS at VIKINGS

New Orleans has cashed 11 of its last 15 as road dogs pending Monday's results at the Meadowlands. The Saints have also clicked in seven straight on the highway when the total was between 42 1/2 and 49. Minnesota has lost six of its last seven regular season tests and come up short in seven straight ATS. The Vikings are 33-55 as favorites of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points. Minnesota has jumped 'over' in five straight versus NFC-South foes. The Vikings have slipped below the number in 16 of 21 at home after scoring 14 points or less in their previous game.

PANTHERS at DOLPHINS

Carolina has cashed 18 of its last 26 on the road, getting the money in seven of eight last season. However, the Panthers have been unreliable as favorites, dropping 15 of their last 20 in that role. Miami has disappointed its home supporters in 13 of its last 17 chances. The Dolphins have zipped 'over' in seven straight games versus NFC foes. Carolina has bounced 'under' in 13 of its last 17 on grass and in 24 of 34 during the first month of the season. Miami has followed suit in 17 of 23 at home during September.

BROWNS at COLTS

Cleveland has faltered in seven straight ATS on artificial turf and in 17 of its last 27 as underdogs. Indianapolis is 27-44 as home favorites, but it has 'covered' nine of 10 following a division win. The Colts have drifted 'over' in 22 of 39 after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games. The Browns have gone above the limit in five of six as double-digit road dogs. They have slipped 'under' in 13 of their last 16 when playing in a domed stadium.

FALCONS at BILLS

Buffalo has cashed at a 6-2-1 clip versus clubs from the NFC. Atlanta has been on the high side in nine of its last dozen as non-conference dogs.

BUCCS at PACKERS

Green Bay has won the last 13 series meetings against Tampa Bay at Lambeau Field (5-7-1 ATS). The Buccaneers snapped a five-game losing skid, both SU and ATS, when they upset Minnesota in their season road debut. Tampa Bay is 6-12 ATS on the road since 2003. The Packers and Buccs have been on the low side in five of the last six series encounters. Tampa Bay has ducked 'under' in 11 of its last 13 on the road versus conference foes. Green Bay has been on the high side in 18 of 23 after two or more straight setbacks.

CARDS at SEAHAWKS

Seattle is 2-9 as favorites of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 and 6-23 as home chalk of 3 1/2 to 7. Arizona has been no bargain as road dogs, faltering in 13 of its last 17. The winless Cardinals have failed to cash in their last 10 on the road when the total was between 35 1/2 and 42. Arizona has topped the total in seven straight as road dogs of seven or less and in eight straight on road grass.

COWBOYS at 49ERS

San Francisco has dropped six straight spread decisions after allowing 30 points or more in its last outing. Dallas has lost 39 of its last 50 on the road since 1999. The Cowboys have dipped 'under' in seven straight as favorites of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 and in 32 of their last 49 as road chalk. The 49ers have stormed 'over' in six straight at home when the number was between 35 1/2 and 42.

GIANTS at CHARGERS San Diego has cashed nine of its last dozen versus NFC rivals. The Chargers are just 9-23 ATS at home off a road division loss. The New York Giants have slipped in seven of their last nine on grass. San Diego has snuck 'under' in 26 of 37 at home after two or more straight losses.

CHIEFS at BRONCOS

Denver has won and covered the spread during its last four home games against Kansas City. The Broncos have also prevailed in nine of the last 13 series squabbles, getting the money at an 8-5 clip. The Chiefs are 11-5-1 as underdogs and they have won 33 of their last 50 spread decisions in September. Denver is 5-13-1 as home favorites when playing on Monday. The last seven series meetings have gone 'over'. The Broncos have topped the number in 36 of 51 at home when it was between 42 1/2 and 49. Kansas City went 'under' in its first two outings this year. The Chiefs haven't been on the low side in three straight since 2002.

 By Jimmy Sirody

9/22/05 1:07 PM
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gs550
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Edited: 22-Sep-05
Member Since: 09/19/2005
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Joey, do you think the Pats will loose 2 in a row?

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