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MMA Wagering UnderGround >> Inside The Number: UFC 63

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9/23/06 2:22 PM
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Edited: 23-Sep-06
Member Since: 05/22/2006
Posts: 433
Inside The Number: UFC 63 Fight Night Edition By Tony Sands BettorMMA.com Matt Hughes -206 vs. BJ Penn +186 I am shocked that the Penn number has remained this high and I expect that it will come down as we get closer to fight time. Penn thoroughly dominated Hughes in the first fight and has a substantial advantage against him on the feet and grappling. Hughes is going to have to be patient with Penn and not make any mistakes because if he gets caught in a rear naked as he did against Trigg or a triangle choke like he did against Verrisimo then it will be lights out. Theres no turning back when a fighter of BJ Penn's caliber gets a submission attempt like that on. Mike Swick -110 vs. David Loiseau +100 Loiseau opened up at a +140 and has been steadily bet down. It surprised many that Swick opened as the favorite but he is coming off four dominating victories in the UFC while Loiseau was dominated by Rich Franklin at UFC 58. One thing to take in to account here is that the Crow did not rush back to action after his failed attempt at unseating Franklin. Loiseau was offered a return fight in June but declined the fight as he felt he was not yet ready to step back in the Octagon. Is he ready now? We will find that out tonight. Rashad Evans -183 vs Jason Lambert +173 Evans opened up as a -220 favorite and this fight has seen action both ways with the majority of it going towards Lambert the last few hours. Although Evans is looked at by many fans as boring, the bottom line is that the guy just wins. Although Lambert is on a three fight win streak, victories over Branden Lee Hinkle, Rob McDonald, and Terry Martin can not be looked to highly upon. This is a huge fight for both as Evans is making his PPV debut and a win here will vault Lambert in to a marquee fight. Jens Pulver -660 vs Joe Lauzon +600 Pulver opened up at some books as low as in the 400's but these numbers were quickly bet up as was the -600 that Pinnacle opened with. Lauzon is no walk through but the public being so heavy on Pulver is likely attributed to his stunning KO's of Cole Escevedo and Kenji Arai in his last two fights. This fight was made to showcase Pulver on his way back to the UFC title but anything can happen as was proven when Pulver was knocked out shockingly by huge underdogs Duane Ludwig and Jason Maxwell in consecutive fights in 2003. Melvin Guillard -206 vs Gabe Ruediger +186 Guillard opened up at -145 and has seen steady action throughout the week. Guillard has gained quite the following after busting up Josh Neer in a tough loss and then KO'ing Rick Davis at UFC 60. Guillard is a force at 155lbs. but Ruediger is not going to lay down easily.Ruediger has two losses in his career and both of them have come by KO which is how many expect this fight to end but Guillard has lost focus in fights before which has left him wide open to submissions. Jorge Gurgel -640 vs Danny Abbadi +580 Gurgel went in to TUF2 as the favorite to win the 170 lbs. division but he suffered a serious knee injury during the show and was not able to perform at the level he is capable of. Gurgel returned in June against Mark Hominick and lost a very close decision where Hominick was running from him at one point. Abbadi's greatest strength is his stand up and if he hopes to win this fight he will have to keep Gurgel from getting inside on him and taking the fight to the floor.

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