Saturday, March 09, 2019

UFC on ESPN+ 4, also known as UFC Fight Night 146, UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos, and UFC Wichita will be held on March 9 at Intrust Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas.

These are The Odds, courtesy of Joey Oddessa. Follow him on Twitter.

DERRICK LEWIS +170
JUNIOR DOS SANTOS -220

ELIZEU ZALESKI DOS SANTOS -117
CURTIS MILLENDER -113

NIKO PRICE +162
TIM MEANS -202

BEN ROTHWELL -111
BLAGOY IVANOV -119

DREW DOBER +160
BENEIL DARIUSH -210

TIM BOETSCH +130
OMARI AKHMEDOV -160

SERGIO MORAES +165
ANTHONY ROCCO MARTIN -215

MARION RENEAU +156
YANA KUNITSKAYA -186

JULIAN EROSA +142
GRANT DAWSON -172

MAURICE GREENE +200
JEFF HUGHES -260

MATT SCHNELL -101
LOUIS SMOLKA -129

ZAK OTTOW +153
ALEX MORONO -183

DAN MORET +114
ALEX WHITE -144

Unlike a spread on a football game where one team is getting a certain amount of points (ex. Saints +7), in MMA fights the line on the game is called a moneyline. These are the +/- used on UFC broadcasts. The figure is how much money you have to bet in order to win $100 (-), and how much a $100 bet will earn (+). They are perhaps best explained via example:
DERRICK LEWIS +170
JUNIOR DOS SANTOS -220

In this fight, JDS is the -220 favorite, meaning if you bet $220 on him and he wins, you would only profit $100. If he were to lose though, you would lose the full $220.

If you were to bet on Lewis at +170 if you bet $100 on him and he wins the fight, you will profit $170. If he were to lose the fight, you would lose your original $100 bet.

In addition to Moneyline (or American) odds, there are also Decimal odds and Fractional odds, which are different expressions of the same numbers.

Decimal Odds are the easiest to understand. To calculate your gross, multiple what you bet by the number. For example:
DERRICK LEWIS 2.70 
JUNIOR DOS SANTOS 1.36
If you bet $100 on Ngannou and he wins, you will get $270 back, leaving you with a gain of $170. If you bet $100 on JDS and he wins, you will get $136, leaving you with a gain of $36.

Fractional Odds are particularly favored in the UK and Ireland. For example:
DERRICK LEWIS 17/10 
JUNIOR DOS SANTOS 4/11
The denominator (or second number) to the right is the amount bet, while the numerator (or first number) on the left is the amount that your bet will profit.

Any minor discrepancy in the numbers is due to rounding.

Depending on how people are betting on the fights the odds will shift from the moment they open, right up until the night of the fights.

The sport is built on moments that make you involuntary think “HOLY F***ING S***!!!” Those can come at any time, on any portion of the card, from any fighter. Thus, some bettors look to the underdogs, sometimes big ones, as the best bets. And they say never bet until the weigh-ins.