Member Since: 1/19/12
Nitecrawler -ABCTT_GROUNDnLB -Nitecrawler -ABCTT_GROUNDnLB -Nitecrawler -
The death count won’t come anywhere near 100k in the US.
Fuck NC, you should know math better than that.
Over 50,000 “cases” to date, likely way more based on the shit testing done.
US quarantines are pretty impotent because people don’t fucking listen. The log rate is around 14-16 days to get to a tenfold increase. Based on a logistic curve, it is not out of the realm of possibility that 5M people will be effected and 100k will die.
In order for that not to happen though, government needs to get the whip out and punish people who fucking ignore quarantine rules.
At the risk of sounding like a ghoul, would you like to make a screen name bet?
If it tops 100k by July you win, if it doesn’t go past 100k by July I win.
60 days with a new name. You in?
All I said is that it’s not out of the range of possibility. You gave the impression it would never happen, I’m saying it could be. I wouldn’t put it at 50% though. Maybe 15-20%.
For there to be 100k deaths, there needs to be 7-8M cases, and then there is the lead time to death.
By July, I would think the 50/50 call would be 60k deaths. Want to make that bet?
Sure, I’ll do 60k by July 1st. Deal?
While it feels wrong to be betting on a Deadpool, with no sports on these days a degenerate gambler like me has to bet on something! LOL.
Make it mid July, July 15, and it’s a done deal baby!
60 day SN bet