OtherGround Forums China on a bus to fuckedville

Edited: 8 days ago
1/19/12
Posts: 31735
Nitecrawler -
ABCTT_GROUNDnLB -
Nitecrawler -
ABCTT_GROUNDnLB -
Nitecrawler -

The death count won’t come anywhere near 100k in the US.

Fuck NC, you should know math better than that.

 

Over 50,000 “cases” to date, likely way more based on the shit testing done.

US quarantines are pretty impotent because people don’t fucking listen. The log rate is around 14-16 days to get to a tenfold increase. Based on a logistic curve, it is not out of the realm of possibility that 5M people will be effected and 100k will die.

In order for that not to happen though, government needs to get the whip out and punish people who fucking ignore quarantine rules.

At the risk of sounding like a ghoul, would you like to make a screen name bet? 
 

If it tops 100k by July you win, if it doesn’t go past 100k by July I win. 
 

60 days with a new name. You in?

All I said is that it’s not out of the range of possibility. You gave the impression it would never happen, I’m saying it could be. I wouldn’t put it at 50% though. Maybe 15-20%.

For there to be 100k deaths, there needs to be 7-8M cases, and then there is the lead time to death.

By July, I would think the 50/50 call would be 60k deaths. Want to make that bet?

 

Sure, I’ll do 60k by July 1st. Deal?

While it feels wrong to be betting on a Deadpool, with no sports on these days a degenerate gambler like me has to bet on something! LOL. 
 

 

Make it mid July, July 15, and it’s a done deal baby!

 

60 day SN bet

8 days ago
10/13/02
Posts: 16320

For the 4th time.

 

8 days ago
7/4/09
Posts: 1422
Slydawg -

For the 4th time.

 

How will the world respond when the chips fall?

8 days ago
4/12/11
Posts: 13290

At the most extreme, some manufacturing of strategically important materials will come back to north north america, people will generally be salty towards the Chinese govt, and Trump will try to fuck them a bit harder on the trade deal. 

8 days ago
9/8/13
Posts: 4839
Pat Giles -

100k? Only 999,350 to go. Seriously are you fucking retarded???

Lol dork

8 days ago
10/22/02
Posts: 7944
Pat Giles -

100k? Only 999,350 to go. Seriously are you fucking retarded???

No, but I feel you may suck at math.

8 days ago
5/23/07
Posts: 21020
Pat Giles - 
ABCTT_TFK_Mr.Smiff -
Pat Giles - 

100k? Only 999,350 to go. Seriously are you fucking retarded???


Dr of maths you must be

Damn I fat fingered an extra 9 my mistake. Busy watching the tiger king. 


Lol 

 

Is it worth watching?

8 days ago
5/23/07
Posts: 21021
Nitecrawler - 
ABCTT_TFK_Mr.Smiff -
Nitecrawler - 
ABCTT_TFK_Mr.Smiff -
Pat Giles - 

100k? Only 999,350 to go. Seriously are you fucking retarded???


Dr of maths you must be

Legit LOL. 


Hope you and the family are safe and healthy my friend....how's tinycrawler doing?

Doing well, bro. 
 

Homeschooling is a bitch to balance with work but other than that things are fantastic. Hope you and yours are doing well in these stressful times. 


That's great to hear. Good luck with the balancing act NC.

 

Be well my friend.

8 days ago
7/24/14
Posts: 1864
Argonaut -
Nitecrawler -

The death count won’t come anywhere near 100k in the US.

When does it end? Italy is consistently hitting 600-800 deaths/day and the US is 6 times larger.

517 people per square mile in Italy 

vs 

93 people per square mile in USA. 

 

Plus a larger elderly population in Italy will inflate those death count numbers. 

8 days ago
4/15/06
Posts: 3033

Biden has been on Chinas payroll for years. If he wins...america will do nothing. It will be back to the business of escorting China into position as the top world super power.

8 days ago
9/10/10
Posts: 4945

predictions were 200k-1.2 million deaths, its pretty widespread in every state its brand new, social distancing is basically a joke, my job my life hasnt changed at all period, grocery stores are more crowded than ever

8 days ago
9/13/19
Posts: 2313
Pat Giles - 

100k? Only 999,350 to go. Seriously are you fucking retarded???


LOLOL. I'm not 100% sure I know the answer to that... but I am 99.9999999% sure hahahaa!!!
8 days ago
7/9/12
Posts: 2362
DollawayGotFistedByAPillow -
Argonaut -
Nitecrawler -

The death count won’t come anywhere near 100k in the US.

When does it end? Italy is consistently hitting 600-800 deaths/day and the US is 6 times larger.

517 people per square mile in Italy 

vs 

93 people per square mile in USA. 

 

Plus a larger elderly population in Italy will inflate those death count numbers. 

I dont think the Virus will be very effective in the wilderness of the Rockies or the sparsely populated aridness of central Sicily.

Cities however…..

N.Y Population 8.6 Million

26,403 people per square mile

 

San Fran Population  900 000

17 160 people per square mile

 

Chicago population 2.7 Million

11 685 people per square mile

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_by_population_density

7 days ago
7/4/09
Posts: 1423
MMA6053 -
DollawayGotFistedByAPillow -
Argonaut -
Nitecrawler -

The death count won’t come anywhere near 100k in the US.

When does it end? Italy is consistently hitting 600-800 deaths/day and the US is 6 times larger.

517 people per square mile in Italy 

vs 

93 people per square mile in USA. 

 

Plus a larger elderly population in Italy will inflate those death count numbers. 

I dont think the Virus will be very effective in the wilderness of the Rockies or the sparsely populated aridness of central Sicily.

Cities however…..

N.Y Population 8.6 Million

26,403 people per square mile

 

San Fran Population  900 000

17 160 people per square mile

 

Chicago population 2.7 Million

11 685 people per square mile

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_by_population_density

This. New York will break 30k cases today. 

 

7 days ago
6/3/03
Posts: 104871
ABCTT_GROUNDnLB -
Nitecrawler -
ABCTT_GROUNDnLB -
Nitecrawler -
ABCTT_GROUNDnLB -
Nitecrawler -

The death count won’t come anywhere near 100k in the US.

Fuck NC, you should know math better than that.

 

Over 50,000 “cases” to date, likely way more based on the shit testing done.

US quarantines are pretty impotent because people don’t fucking listen. The log rate is around 14-16 days to get to a tenfold increase. Based on a logistic curve, it is not out of the realm of possibility that 5M people will be effected and 100k will die.

In order for that not to happen though, government needs to get the whip out and punish people who fucking ignore quarantine rules.

At the risk of sounding like a ghoul, would you like to make a screen name bet? 
 

If it tops 100k by July you win, if it doesn’t go past 100k by July I win. 
 

60 days with a new name. You in?

All I said is that it’s not out of the range of possibility. You gave the impression it would never happen, I’m saying it could be. I wouldn’t put it at 50% though. Maybe 15-20%.

For there to be 100k deaths, there needs to be 7-8M cases, and then there is the lead time to death.

By July, I would think the 50/50 call would be 60k deaths. Want to make that bet?

 

Sure, I’ll do 60k by July 1st. Deal?

While it feels wrong to be betting on a Deadpool, with no sports on these days a degenerate gambler like me has to bet on something! LOL. 
 

 

Make it mid July, July 15, and it’s a done deal baby!

 

60 day SN bet

Fuck it, let’s do it. 
 

You’re on!

7 days ago
6/22/12
Posts: 1268
ABCTT_GROUNDnLB -
Pat Giles -

100k? Only 999,350 to go. Seriously are you fucking retarded???

The American school system is unbelievable 

Yea public schools suck 

7 days ago
6/10/08
Posts: 29496

but but but we are epected to lose 1.3 trillion US residents!!!!

7 days ago
8/2/19
Posts: 1218
DollawayGotFistedByAPillow -
Argonaut -
Nitecrawler -

The death count won’t come anywhere near 100k in the US.

When does it end? Italy is consistently hitting 600-800 deaths/day and the US is 6 times larger.

517 people per square mile in Italy 

vs 

93 people per square mile in USA. 

 

Plus a larger elderly population in Italy will inflate those death count numbers. 

13,321 per square mile in Boston.

27,016 per square mile in NY.

17,246 per square mile in San Fran.

 

7 days ago
4/12/04
Posts: 7186
Argonaut -

And the US is the mayor.

 

If the death count in the states grows passed 100k what will happen to China?

War, sanctions, reparations?

 

Discuss

 

racist

7 days ago
4/12/04
Posts: 7187
Argonaut -

And the US is the mayor.

 

If the death count in the states grows passed 100k what will happen to China?

War, sanctions, reparations?

 

Discuss

 

keep in mind that 9/11 cost us 3000-4000 lives and impacted people's lives.

7 days ago
3/18/02
Posts: 91605

they should be, and I believe they are fucked regardless. 

Lets hope that the USA moves away from politicians doing nothing but trying to jail opponents and grab power and enact real systemic trade practices.  

There is an urgent need for the western world to not sole source all manufacturing in China for more than obvious reasons.  

This will cripple the Chinese economy.  

Unless of course we need to put paul manafort in jail again for not paying his taxes 12 years ago, then that obviously takes precedent.  

Edited: 7 days ago
3/18/02
Posts: 91606

Edit - forum has AIDS and CV

7 days ago
11/13/09
Posts: 3314

For those doing bets maybe agree on some official source for a count.  This is going to 100% be used for political purposes.  Those is power will say they basically did the best job ever in the history of ever containing this and no one actually died, a few people got a cough and one doctor sprained his ankle taking a turn too fast the other side will say approximately 9,999,350 died and also this caused an outbreak of autism. Whatever the tally is I know for sure most people will say it was porbably 3x that many.

7 days ago
4/12/04
Posts: 7188
BigEyedFish -

they should be, and I believe they are fucked regardless. 

Lets hope that the USA moves away from politicians doing nothing but trying to jail opponents and grab power and enact real systemic trade practices.  

There is an urgent need for the western world to not sole source all manufacturing in China for more than obvious reasons.  

This will cripple the Chinese economy.  

Unless of course we need to put paul manafort in jail again for not paying his taxes 12 years ago, then that obviously takes precedent.  

Unless of course Trump keeps buddying up with President Xi (e.g. "Xi is a good friend of mine.")

7 days ago
3/18/02
Posts: 91608

ya buddying up by slapping tarrifs and starting a "trade war". Demonstrably the toughest POTUS on China in recent memory

but he said good things! 

you guys are unbelievable