Member Since: 2/27/11
Lombardy and New York have very similar climate, either in temperature and humidity, any possible link to the high number of infected?
Both are also densely populated which of course does increase the spread but so are other cities that appear to be less hit.
Anyway just wanted to reiterate something other people already said: the naked number of infected doesnt say much unless we know how many tests have been performed and under which conditions.
Initially in Italy they tested this single guy who had covid symptoms AND had contact with a person recently returned from China (which later resulted negative and was excluded to be patient zero), then they tested all his contacts, either symptomatics or not.
When the number increased and had to deal with too many contacts, they started to only test people with symptoms, then in the last weeks they could only test people with multiple symptoms, now they increased the testing potentials and started testing single symptoms people again.
If you check this site
And go down to
New daily tests and confirmed cases
You see how the black line which represents the % of infected found by tests is decreasing which i think is a good sign.
Last thing, if you exclude Lombardy, Italy appears like one of the less hit nations.