OtherGround Forums Trump enroute to massive defeat in November

Edited: 13 days ago
10/3/16
Posts: 4911

Oxford now saying it will be the biggest trouncing since Reagan/Carter in 1980.

MAGA

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/how-biden-wallops-trump-114537297.html

"The election model run by forecasting firm Oxford Economics now sees Biden beating Trump by historic margins, due to an economy deeply damaged by the coronavirus recession. Before the recession, the model showed Trump winning in a close race.

The key variable in the Oxford model is a sharp economic contraction in swing states that fuels dissatisfaction with Trump and his fellow Republicans, and bolsters Democratic turnout. In the model, Biden, the former vice president, wins all the usual Democratic states plus seven states Trump won in 2016: Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

The outcome would give Biden 65% of the popular vote, and Trump just 35%. Biden would win the electoral vote 328 – 210, the worst womping of an incumbent president since Jimmy Carter lost to Ronald Reagan in 1980. In 2016, Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton, 48% to 46%, but swing state victories gave him a 306-232 electoral college win. The Oxford model predicted Hillary Clinton’s popular vote win, but not Trump’s electoral college margin. In 18 presidential elections dating to 1948, the Oxford model got the popular vote winner wrong only twice, in 1968 and 1976.

Before the virus arrived, Oxford forecast Trump winning reelection with a 55% popular-vote margin. The reeling economy and Trump’s halting response to the crisis have obviously helped Biden. Polls show Biden with a 4 to 5 point lead over Trump nationally. Biden also leads in most of the swing states likely to determine the winner in November. Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics recently told Yahoo Finance his firm’s election forecasting tool also switched from Trump to Biden recently, though details aren’t publicly available yet."

13 days ago
10/13/05
Posts: 6313

Can we sticky this post.

I'm Pretty sure they had Hilary winning 90%+ as well

13 days ago
6/26/06
Posts: 14050
The walls are closing in on Trump.
13 days ago
10/3/16
Posts: 4912
walbjj -

Can we sticky this post.

I'm Pretty sure they had Hilary winning 90%+ as well

Yes. And again, it was correct. She did win the popular vote.

"The Oxford model predicted Hillary Clinton’s popular vote win, but not Trump’s electoral college margin. In 18 presidential elections dating to 1948, the Oxford model got the popular vote winner wrong only twice, in 1968 and 1976."

13 days ago
12/17/09
Posts: 708

Any day now...

13 days ago
7/14/17
Posts: 10682

This sounds familiar... 

13 days ago
1/12/07
Posts: 19570

Lets impeach Trump for quid pro quo... (didnt happen)

Lets elect Biden who brags about QPQ (did happen).

lol

Edited: 13 days ago
12/29/09
Posts: 32723

Here we go again. OP is determined to set himself up for not only heartbreak but embarrassment.

More people are waking up the liberal to BS. Not the other way around.

13 days ago
2/8/08
Posts: 4742

I just wanna be a small part of another embarrassing thread from the emotionally unstable. IN.

13 days ago
12/29/09
Posts: 32724

Trump's approval rating is really all the proof you need.

13 days ago
10/3/16
Posts: 4913
kingofpancakes -

Here we go again. OP is determined to set himself up for not only heartbreak but embarrassment.

More people are waking up the liberal to BS. Not the other way around.

I think you guys spend too much time on the OG listening to each other. It has diluted the ability to think objectively and realize your boy in trouble.

13 days ago
10/15/13
Posts: 36946
SeattlesbigDprolapsedME -

I just wanna be a small part of another embarrassing thread from the emotionally unstable. IN.

First page as well. You should be proud!

 

+1

13 days ago
10/10/05
Posts: 14958

I'm a registered Democrat.  There is no way in hell I'm voting for Biden. 

13 days ago
2/16/04
Posts: 16362

Pandemic or not, I can't imagine Biden winning. He is the worst candidate I've seen in a long time. I dont think any Trump supporters will have covid sway their votes at all. And aren't Trumps approval ratings pretty high? 

I wonder if all these polls showing Biden winning big are just preparing us for when the election is stolen through voter fraud. When key areas go blue and seem to have very skewed numbers, they can say, "well that's what the polls said would happen." That sounds like a crazy conspiracy theory,  but it enters my mind 

13 days ago
4/29/09
Posts: 25104

GOD DAMN RIGHT 

13 days ago
2/14/10
Posts: 13515

Last time around was the lesser of 2 evils. This time around, it's the greater of 2 quantities of healthy neurons. 

They can't hide Biden forever. He will have to debate Trump at some point. And all the softball questions in the world won't help someone who's mentally stuck in 1976. 

13 days ago
7/16/13
Posts: 4148

OP is a faggot.

13 days ago
5/3/01
Posts: 29247

trump's a hilarious symptom of the rampant stupidity, selfishness, and confusion of the modern united states, but he's almost certainly going to win re-election.

13 days ago
6/27/05
Posts: 28199

Epic Backfire thread is Epic...?

13 days ago
3/23/07
Posts: 60506

It's hard for me to see Biden beating Trump, but anything is possible.

13 days ago
12/25/13
Posts: 3444
MarcusAurelioFan -
kingofpancakes -

Here we go again. OP is determined to set himself up for not only heartbreak but embarrassment.

More people are waking up the liberal to BS. Not the other way around.

I think you guys spend too much time on the OG listening to each other. It has diluted the ability to think objectively and realize your boy in trouble.

Vegas disagrees with you 

13 days ago
5/12/03
Posts: 22133
Anyone who believes that should have their right to vote and ability to reproduce taken away, because they're imbeciles.
13 days ago
3/13/11
Posts: 4381

Bookies disagree 

13 days ago
1/18/03
Posts: 3683
I'm in the minority here. I think Biden (or whoever they run) is going to win. Had it not been for the pandemic Trump would have won.
13 days ago
1/1/01
Posts: 20236

Would be interesting to see this model used on Trump versus Hillary...