OtherGround Forums Wuhan Coronavirus daily update counts: 6,048,870

3/14/20 11:29 PM
9/13/19
Posts: 2105
robbie380 - 

Here's some quick numbers excluding China and Iran based on my tracking from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

March 7

  • Total Cases : 19682
  • Active Cases : 17886
  • Recovered Cases : 1438
  • Serious Cases : 771
  • Deaths : 358
  • Mortality Rate : 1.82%

March 10

  • Total Cases : 30359
  • Active Cases : 27108
  • Recovered Cases : 2405
  • Serious Cases : 1253
  • Deaths : 846
  • Mortality Rate : 2.79%

March 14

  • Total Cases : 62532
  • Active Cases : 55963
  • Recovered Cases : 4548
  • Serious Cases : 2299
  • Deaths : 2021
  • Mortality Rate : 3.23%

Still shows strong up-tick. I think that will continue for 5, 6 more days.
3/14/20 11:36 PM
7/31/09
Posts: 6381
PwnedCakes -
robbie380 - 

Here's some quick numbers excluding China and Iran based on my tracking from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

March 7

  • Total Cases : 19682
  • Active Cases : 17886
  • Recovered Cases : 1438
  • Serious Cases : 771
  • Deaths : 358
  • Mortality Rate : 1.82%

March 10

  • Total Cases : 30359
  • Active Cases : 27108
  • Recovered Cases : 2405
  • Serious Cases : 1253
  • Deaths : 846
  • Mortality Rate : 2.79%

March 14

  • Total Cases : 62532
  • Active Cases : 55963
  • Recovered Cases : 4548
  • Serious Cases : 2299
  • Deaths : 2021
  • Mortality Rate : 3.23%

Still shows strong up-tick. I think that will continue for 5, 6 more days.

Active cases will hopefully skyrocket in the US and hopefully deaths will stay low

3/14/20 11:43 PM
8/2/19
Posts: 1080
PwnedCakes -
robbie380 - 

Here's some quick numbers excluding China and Iran based on my tracking from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

March 7

  • Total Cases : 19682
  • Active Cases : 17886
  • Recovered Cases : 1438
  • Serious Cases : 771
  • Deaths : 358
  • Mortality Rate : 1.82%

March 10

  • Total Cases : 30359
  • Active Cases : 27108
  • Recovered Cases : 2405
  • Serious Cases : 1253
  • Deaths : 846
  • Mortality Rate : 2.79%

March 14

  • Total Cases : 62532
  • Active Cases : 55963
  • Recovered Cases : 4548
  • Serious Cases : 2299
  • Deaths : 2021
  • Mortality Rate : 3.23%

Still shows strong up-tick. I think that will continue for 5, 6 more days.

Global uptick will continue for months.

3/15/20 3:23 AM
3/12/02
Posts: 7056
jpm995 -
NoNeed4aScreenName -
Cire -

Coronavirus Cases:

150,054 

view by country

Deaths:

5,617

Recovered:

73,731

ACTIVE CASES 

70,706

Currently Infected Patients

65,020 (92%) 

in Mild Condition


5,686 (8%) 

Serious or Critical

 

As the virus spreads outward the percentage of serious conditions is lowering. 

 

That's preliminary but promising. 

This is good and bad news. More people getting sick, less % dying.

This seems wrong. The stats above from March 7 to March 14 show a 3X increase in cases but a 4X increase in deaths

3/15/20 3:25 AM
3/12/02
Posts: 7057

Actually it’s over a 5X increase in deaths.

3/15/20 3:41 AM
11/11/11
Posts: 24484
NoNeed4aScreenName -
FETT_Loadin76_TFK -
The Pendulum -
NoNeed4aScreenName -

Yeah if that number held constant I think the panic would be more warranted. 

 

Ii expect the confirmed cases to rise rapidly soon. It will be more important to watch acuity cause it will simply be the numbers shown in the news. 

 

I swear I read or watched something yesterday and some places in canada were setting up outside coronavirus test sites. 

Doesn't mean much given incubation period and cases confirmed. The US is still in very early stages.

 

Didn't get reported much either, but last week there was a case of black rain in Japan.

The hells black rain?

Here's one of the more reputable outlets I've seen reporting on it 

 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8077787/Disturbing-black-rain-reported-falling-parts-Japan.html

Bear doesn't like this

3/15/20 4:00 AM
11/20/09
Posts: 42881

Someone who feels they are informed and is taking this extremely seriously, what is the high chances for a 78yr old obese person with diabeetus' chances of getting the virus?

 

Someone who feels they are informed and think this is way overboard, what is the low chances a 78yr old obese person with diabeetus' gets the virus?

3/15/20 4:09 AM
5/22/05
Posts: 25160
My PooPoo Hole Loves Furious Pounding - 
D241 - 

Someone who feels they are informed and is taking this extremely seriously, what is the high chances for a 78yr old obese person with diabeetus' chances of getting the virus?

 

Someone who feels they are informed and think this is way overboard, what is the low chances a 78yr old obese person with diabeetus' gets the virus?


if they stay at home, never go outside, the chances are zero


Assuming no visitors.

3/15/20 4:43 AM
12/9/13
Posts: 27354
D241 -

Someone who feels they are informed and is taking this extremely seriously, what is the high chances for a 78yr old obese person with diabeetus' chances of getting the virus?

 

Someone who feels they are informed and think this is way overboard, what is the low chances a 78yr old obese person with diabeetus' gets the virus?

50 to 70% get the virus, the person you described has a low chance of survival, even if there is an icu available

Edited: 3/15/20 8:14 AM
5/14/13
Posts: 5789
NoNeed4aScreenName -
The Pendulum -
NoNeed4aScreenName -

Yeah if that number held constant I think the panic would be more warranted. 

 

Ii expect the confirmed cases to rise rapidly soon. It will be more important to watch acuity cause it will simply be the numbers shown in the news. 

 

I swear I read or watched something yesterday and some places in canada were setting up outside coronavirus test sites. 

Doesn't mean much given incubation period and cases confirmed. The US is still in very early stages.

 

Didn't get reported much either, but last week there was a case of black rain in Japan.

I haven't even heard of this until today. I didn't even know this was a thing. 

Last time it fell in Japan was after the bombs were dropped in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, but I'm sure youd have read that by now.

 

I really don't know about the plastic factory fire "explanation" either.

 

I was thinking about the autist that plotted how much sulfur dioxide was being pumped out in early days in wuhan, so I went to windy.com to have a look, and China now has several places that are emitting more sulfur dioxide than Norilsk, who in 2018 were considered the largest polluters of SO2 in the world.

 

Yeah. And seems like the wind blows directly off the coast of China mostly into the sea, but there is common currents that swirl to Tokyo.

 

 

Hmmmmmm.

3/15/20 8:22 AM
5/14/13
Posts: 5790


Norilsk is circled in blue.Given their average temperature the past couple of months has been below -20c, it'd stand to reason that pollutants would hang around a tad longer.I'm sure you can all see China, I'll put a blown up pic next, itll have some temperatures on it.
3/15/20 8:29 AM
5/14/13
Posts: 5791


Here's China all blown up.
3/15/20 8:30 AM
5/14/13
Posts: 5792


Highest plotted point in Norilsk I could find.
3/15/20 8:32 AM
5/14/13
Posts: 5793

 

3/15/20 8:34 AM
5/14/13
Posts: 5794


Highest plotted point I could find in Wuhan.Every red spot in china has SO2 levels higher than found in Norilsk.Yeah, those mobile incinerators must be doing work.
3/15/20 8:41 AM
2/4/09
Posts: 10440

^that's a really neat website. I'm not much of an environmental scientist. 

 

Are you speculating that perhaps its bodies being burned? 

 

On another note how does germany have 5100 cases and only 9 deaths. 

 

That's roughly a .1% mortality rate

3/15/20 8:51 AM
5/14/13
Posts: 5795
NoNeed4aScreenName -

^that's a really neat website. I'm not much of an environmental scientist. 

 

Are you speculating that perhaps its bodies being burned? 

 

On another note how does germany have 5100 cases and only 9 deaths. 

 

That's roughly a .1% mortality rate

I'm not an environmental scientist either. It's just really fucking weird that somewhere in Wuhan is producing nearly 10x the amount of sulfur dioxide than the worlds top SO2 polluter is.

 

Something is being burned.

 

As for Germany, no clue. Its disproportionate to the rest of the world.

3/15/20 8:54 AM
1/19/12
Posts: 31696
robbie380 -

Here's some quick numbers excluding China and Iran based on my tracking from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

March 7

  • Total Cases : 19682
  • Active Cases : 17886
  • Recovered Cases : 1438
  • Serious Cases : 771
  • Deaths : 358
  • Mortality Rate : 1.82%

March 10

  • Total Cases : 30359
  • Active Cases : 27108
  • Recovered Cases : 2405
  • Serious Cases : 1253
  • Deaths : 846
  • Mortality Rate : 2.79%

March 14

  • Total Cases : 62532
  • Active Cases : 55963
  • Recovered Cases : 4548
  • Serious Cases : 2299
  • Deaths : 2021
  • Mortality Rate : 3.23%

Here is the trend, based on the data. It’s an exponential growth right now

 

3/15/20 8:55 AM
1/25/04
Posts: 132259

Is that current?

3/15/20 9:09 AM
1/19/12
Posts: 31697
Jack Carter -

Is that current?

As of 3/6

3/15/20 9:17 AM
11/24/09
Posts: 2264
NoNeed4aScreenName -

^that's a really neat website. I'm not much of an environmental scientist. 

 

Are you speculating that perhaps its bodies being burned? 

 

On another note how does germany have 5100 cases and only 9 deaths. 

 

That's roughly a .1% mortality rate

it could be mostly younger people getting it

 

https://medium.com/@andreasbackhausab/coronavirus-why-its-so-deadly-in-italy-c4200a15a7bf

there is a good article the dr posted in the questions thread 

 

 

3/15/20 9:20 AM
1/1/01
Posts: 19703

Coronavirus Cases:

162,386 

view by country

Deaths:

5,984

Recovered:

75,967

ACTIVE CASES 

80,435

Currently Infected Patients

74,772 (93%) 

in Mild Condition


5,663 (7%) 

Serious or Critical

 

3/15/20 9:35 AM
4/6/09
Posts: 17063

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/coronavirus-wuhan-masks-video-doctors-nurses-hospital-a9402631.html

3/15/20 9:44 AM
2/5/05
Posts: 50125

Seems like the numbers are picking up. Great. Just great. 

I’m paranoid that the US is still waiting for the big numbers of infected. In just over a week I think the numbers here will grow significantly because of those not concerned over it. 

3/15/20 9:51 AM
10/16/10
Posts: 29864
The log scale charts for total cases and deaths look like the growth rate is starting to increase again so we likely haven't reached the inflection point yet.