Jcbass, please stop posting. 10,000 new cases in NY since you wrote this yesterday:
Total deaths is now at 500 or so and the virus first arrived two months ago. We are currently mostly under forced quarantine. In a week or two NYC will be stable, just like Washington State stabilized
No I have maintained that Coronavirus is a regional threat and NYC is tailor made to spread the virus. I think the United States should move heaven and earth to help NYC. However, we should not take NYC's numbers and then project them onto the entire country to get to some insanely high death rate...That's what people are doing...
From another post, that was well received by the medical people..
I have been down the middle with my thoughts on this. I understand the virus is very contagious which is dangerous especially to those vulnerable to the virus, (old and sick). However, I keep seeing people looking at the NYC numbers and then projecting those kind of percentages onto the rest of the country to get to their dooms day number. I am saying each location is different and the simple fact that NYC is under fire (at the moment) doesn't mean the entire country is going to be enveloped.
The circumstances are not the same everywhere. China has a population of 1.3 billion, it killed under 4k (even if you times tht x 10 because they 'lie' then its 40k).
Thailand has experienced 4 deaths...
Other countries under 40....it's not something that catches fire and totally annihilates a country, its regional and we know where it settles, densely populated places, particularly with an older/unhealthy demographic.
Let's keep most the travel restrictions in place for the time being, keep the ban on large events, keep the border closed, isolate the old and the sick, not punish anyone if they don't feel comfortable going to work, but slowly start opening up commerce while making sure everyone is practicing safe practices. Maybe that means restaurants only seat every other table, parties under 4...for a month or so.
However, at this rate the economic fallout is going to be dire. Despite only have 11 deaths, the entire city of Los Angeles is entirely shut down. The Magic Castle, a staple of Hollywood, just laid-off 189 of 199 employees, they are on the brink of failure. This can't continue.