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Does anyone REALLY want a career criminal as POTUS 
PoliticalGround Trump is going down in flames.
11/1/16 10:59 PM
11/1/16 11:05 PM
Member Since: 1/25/04
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Posts: 109562
Stronghold - Does anyone REALLY want a career criminal as POTUS
No, but for the majority of democrats, the end ALWAYS justified the means.
11/1/16 11:13 PM Edited: 11/1/16 11:22 PM
Edited: 11/1/16 11:22 PM
Member Since: 2/22/09
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Member Since: 2/22/09
Posts: 9413
yabadaba - Trump is coming on strong. He's now at 25% to win:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is closing in on a 30% chance to win:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
11/1/16 11:16 PM
Member Since: 1/25/04
Posts: 109564
Posts: 109564
yabadaba -yabadaba - Trump is coming on strong. He's now at 25% to win:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is closing in on a 30% chance to win:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
That's not going down in flames
11/1/16 11:19 PM Edited: 11/1/16 11:20 PM
Edited: 11/1/16 11:20 PM
Member Since: 2/22/09
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Member Since: 2/22/09
Posts: 9414
^^^ I didn't say it was. Trump's chances of winning are going up. Haven't we already had this conversation?
11/1/16 11:28 PM
Member Since: 1/1/01
Posts: 68315
Posts: 68315
Thage -Agreed. But I think a tightening of the race was to be expected. Sure seems like too little too late though.attjack -Thage - One thing most people don't seem to be discussing is that the polling for Johnson/Stein has been steadily declining. Those votes are consolidating to Trump/Clinton but who is getting the biggest boost is unknown.The same polls that show their decline show where the voters are going.
The averages are showing it in a better snap shot, but not the faulty polls coming from places like ABC that have shown a 13 point swing in less than 2 weeks.
It appears to me that a significant amount of the Johnson voters are swinging to Trump, maybe they were never Trump folks who have been swayed by the FBI announcement.
11/1/16 11:33 PM
tallpaul - And from the flames a phoenix rises - If Trump can't win now - he was never going to win.
FBI released their notes on the server investigation - no news outlets are reporting it - the OG was right. Basically h dawg lied, the fbi covered up, the FBI messed up and are trying to recover
I've read the first two parts - after this if you still think she is qualified to be presiden its on you. Third one is nearly 200 pages.
here you go straight from the FBI website. I just squeezed a glass until it broke I'm so pissed -
https://vault.fbi.gov/hillary-r.-clinton/hillary-r.-clinton-part-01-of-04/view
https://vault.fbi.gov/hillary-r.-clinton/hillary-r.-clinton-part-02-of-04/view
https://vault.fbi.gov/hillary-r.-clinton/hillary-r.-clinton-part-03-of-04/view
why you try read all them words?
11/2/16 2:29 AM
Member Since: 8/31/07
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Posts: 9884
Jack Carter -yabadaba -yabadaba - Trump is coming on strong. He's now at 25% to win:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is closing in on a 30% chance to win:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
That's not going down in flames
28% of the GOP early vote is going to HRC. Trump is behind by 8% in Florida with almost 50% of the vote in.
From Florida, with flames. Just like I have been saying throughout this thread.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMyqU-yitkg
Other source for that poll.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article111978267.html
11/2/16 2:42 AM
Member Since: 11/28/07
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Posts: 6095
John Milius -thesleeper -Jack Carter -yabadaba -yabadaba - Trump is coming on strong. He's now at 25% to win:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is closing in on a 30% chance to win:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
That's not going down in flames
28% of the GOP early vote is going to HRC. Trump is behind by 8% in Florida with almost 50% of the vote in.
From Florida, with flames. Just like I have been saying throughout this thread.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMyqU-yitkg
Other source for that poll.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article111978267.htmlTotal BS
To liberal pollsters Silver and Cohn both shot that poll down. It's joke designed to get a specific result. It's a bs CTR talking point for tomorrow.
11/2/16 2:46 AM
Member Since: 8/31/07
Posts: 9885
Posts: 9885
Its not BS. A lot of Jeb Bush supporters in Florida.
Even if that poll is off by 50%, say GOP voters are voting for Hillary by 14%, Trump is still fucked.
Here is a summary of early vote analysis in Florida:
The EV electorate is getting more diverse. Now 70% white, 13.5% latino, 11% black. Schale states that this FL electorate will be more diverse than 2012. 44% of the likely electorate has already voted, as of Monday.
About that black vote: He expects it will reach 13.9% (share of actual registration, but reached 25% in 2012). 13% is the target for most winning scenarios, in combination with the increased latin millenial vote.
About that Latino vote: Latinos are turning out big. In addition, 50% of Hispanic Democrats, and 55% of Hispanic NPAs are basically unlikely voters. They’re voting for Hillary.
Schale also hints at something which I’ve been mentioning for a while since the Marist FL poll came out: registered Republicans who are Latino may be splitting their tickets by voting for HRC & Rubio. It would explain how Marist has a 17 point lead for HRC in the early vote despite D’s & R’s casting the about the same # of ballots.
One other note: GOP has a 16,000 cast vote edge over Dems currently, but they are cannibalizing their election day vote whereas Dem EV has a much larger # of unlikely voters. Their current ‘lead’ is based on cannibalizing or shifting their election day voters to the EV (per Schale).
Even if that poll is off by 50%, say GOP voters are voting for Hillary by 14%, Trump is still fucked.
Here is a summary of early vote analysis in Florida:
The EV electorate is getting more diverse. Now 70% white, 13.5% latino, 11% black. Schale states that this FL electorate will be more diverse than 2012. 44% of the likely electorate has already voted, as of Monday.
About that black vote: He expects it will reach 13.9% (share of actual registration, but reached 25% in 2012). 13% is the target for most winning scenarios, in combination with the increased latin millenial vote.
About that Latino vote: Latinos are turning out big. In addition, 50% of Hispanic Democrats, and 55% of Hispanic NPAs are basically unlikely voters. They’re voting for Hillary.
Schale also hints at something which I’ve been mentioning for a while since the Marist FL poll came out: registered Republicans who are Latino may be splitting their tickets by voting for HRC & Rubio. It would explain how Marist has a 17 point lead for HRC in the early vote despite D’s & R’s casting the about the same # of ballots.
One other note: GOP has a 16,000 cast vote edge over Dems currently, but they are cannibalizing their election day vote whereas Dem EV has a much larger # of unlikely voters. Their current ‘lead’ is based on cannibalizing or shifting their election day voters to the EV (per Schale).
11/2/16 3:05 AM
Member Since: 11/28/07
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Posts: 6096
The poll is of less than 350 people and is opt in only with targeted questions. It's designed to give a specific result. It's an outlier that also said Rubio would win the Florida primary.
11/2/16 3:12 AM
Member Since: 8/31/07
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Posts: 9888
And the Marius poll from three days ago that also found a large lead for the Dems in the early vote?
11/2/16 9:42 AM
Member Since: 1/25/04
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thesleeper -Jack Carter -yabadaba -yabadaba - Trump is coming on strong. He's now at 25% to win:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is closing in on a 30% chance to win:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
That's not going down in flames
28% of the GOP early vote is going to HRC. Trump is behind by 8% in Florida with almost 50% of the vote in.
From Florida, with flames. Just like I have been saying throughout this thread.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMyqU-yitkg
Other source for that poll.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article111978267.html
Yet he's still under by only 2
just a few days ago you said he was under by 13
Of of course a lot of the GOP is voting for Hillary. Trump is a huge threat to the corrupt system they've built for themselves. They have a dwindling but decent amount of Bushites supporting them.
wherr are the flames? I don't see any flames.
11/2/16 9:44 AM
Member Since: 1/25/04
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Posts: 109574
Jack Carter -yabadaba -yabadaba - Trump is coming on strong. He's now at 25% to win:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is closing in on a 30% chance to win:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
That's not going down in flames
I wasn't arguing with you. It was directed at thesleeper
11/2/16 8:15 PM
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Posts: 109593
Trump is now 1.7 points below Hillary
My god these flames!!!!!!!!!!
11/3/16 8:40 PM
Member Since: 1/25/04
Posts: 109614
Posts: 109614
RCP average now has Trump at 1.3 points under
My god these flames!!!!!!!!!!
11/3/16 9:02 PM
Member Since: 1/25/04
Posts: 109615
Posts: 109615
Hello?
11/3/16 9:17 PM
Member Since: 2/22/09
Posts: 9421
Posts: 9421
yabadaba -yabadaba - Trump is coming on strong. He's now at 25% to win:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is closing in on a 30% chance to win:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is at 33%. Has he peaked? Will he catch Clinton?
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
11/3/16 9:29 PM
Member Since: 2/15/06
Posts: 12506
Posts: 12506
Jack Carter -Hello?
TheSleeper is asleep?
11/3/16 11:02 PM
11/3/16 11:12 PM
Member Since: 1/25/04
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Posts: 109630
Jack_Bauer -You know its bad when "we're barely losing!" counts as a win...lol
Are you really this confused as to the topic of this thread?
It's about Trump "going down in flames" and most of these posts are simply to show how rising in the polls isn't "going down in flames".
But you already knew that; you're just doing what you've always done in this thread: being dishonest
11/4/16 6:03 AM
Member Since: 6/20/13
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Posts: 4561
Throw money on Trump.
At 3.5/1 odds this is the easiest money since Rousey/Holm
11/4/16 9:28 PM
Member Since: 2/22/09
Posts: 9428
Posts: 9428
yabadaba -yabadaba -yabadaba - Trump is coming on strong. He's now at 25% to win:http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is closing in on a 30% chance to win:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Trump is at 33%. Has he peaked? Will he catch Clinton?
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
He's now at 35%...
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
11/4/16 10:14 PM
