Hey doc. A question:
From the beginning I have taken this thing seriously. I have understood its a big deal. However, I have always been sceptical of the overall strategy.
It seems to me it is going to be impossible to truly rid the country of the virus until a vaccine is found.
For example, Europe's cases are rising again, just as lockdowns are relaxed. UK just reported a thousand cases in one day. Surely this spread will continue. Afterall at one point the UK had no Covid cases, and they arrived on airplanes. 1000 cases a day (now) is probably more cases than arrived initially on those airplanes.
It seems to me that the virus isnt going anyway, and we are just suppressing its spread. Holding it down.
This makes sense if we are very confident of having a vaccine in a short time. But what happens if we dont get a vaccine for three or five years? Do we continue the policy of trying to suppress it for three or five years?
I dont get how we can forumlate a coherent strategy without knowing when a vaccine will be ready. Unless the strategy is to estimate a likely/possible date for a vaccine - and hope for the best, with no contingency plan, if one is not found.