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UFC on ESPN 38 best bets, odds: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mateusz Gamrot

Bets and analysis for Saturday's card, headlined by favorite Tsarukyan fighting Gamrot in a lightweight battle in Las Vegas.

After a successful Fight Night in Austin, Texas, last weekend, UFC returns to its home at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas for Saturday's UFC on ESPN 38. The main event features two lightweight contenders battling in an attempt to crack the stacked top 10.

Eleventh-ranked 155-pounder Arman Tsarukyan (-275) is the betting favorite at SI Sportsbook as he takes on 12th-ranked contender Mateusz Gamrot (+225).

Our bettors provided their best bets for the card.

"UFC on ESPN 38: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot"

ufc-fight-night-tsarukyan-gamrot-poster

Date: Saturday, Jun 25 | 7 p.m. ET

Location: UFC Apex | Las Vegas, Nev.

PRELIMS: 7 p.m. ET

  • Vanessa Demopoulos (+188) vs. Jinh Yu Frey (-225)
  • Brian Kelleher (+145) vs. Mario Bautista (-175)
  • JP Buys (-118) vs. Cody Durden (+100)
  • Raulian Piava (+125) vs. Sergey Morozov (-150)
  • Shayilan Nuerdanbieke (+175) vs. TJ Brown (-213)
  • Carlos Ulberg (+100) vs. Tafon vs. Nchukwi (-118)

MAIN CARD: 10 p.m. ET

  • Chris Curtis (-133) vs. Rodolfo Viera (+110)
  • Nate Maness (+650) vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (-1000)
  • Thiago Moises (-250) vs. Christos Giagos (+205)
  • Josh Parisian (+100) vs. Alan Badout (-118)
  • Neil Magny (+310) vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov (-400)
  • Arman Tsarukyan (-275) vs. Mateusz Gamrot (+225)

SI.com's Robin Lundberg

On paper, Arman Tsarukyan facing Mateusz Gamrot is a matchup of two rising UFC stars. But whomever you pick as the winner, you should consider looking at this one going the distance. Both participants have a grappling prowess which could lead to a longer fight. I’ll narrowly take Tsarukyan by decision due to strength and strikes.

BET: Tsarukyan via decision (+160)

SI Video's Julian Pinto

In the main event, I have Arman Tsarukyan getting the decision. This fight may play out similarly to Usman-Covington in that both men are so good on the ground that they avoid each-others strengths and the fight ends up turning into a kickboxing match. Both fighters have good striking for MMA, but I think Tsaryukan has the slight edge on the feet and on the ground and he will dictate where the fight ends up.

BET: Tsarukyan via decision (+160)

SI Video's Doug Vazquez:

I am looking at a prop in the featured bout on the main card where veteran Neil Magny (+310) is the heavy underdog against Shavkat Rakhmonov (-400). While I do think the line on this fight is a tad high based solely on Magny’s Octagon experience, the potential for rising star Rakhmonov to make quick work of Magny is definitely a possibility. The Uzbekistani has not had any of his three UFC fights make it past the halfway mark of the second round with two submissions and a KO. SI Sportsbook is offering plus-money (+120) on this bout going under 1.5 rounds and I really like that price.

BET: Magny vs. Rakhmonov under 1.5 rounds (+120)

This story first published at SI.com/MMA.