UnderGround Forums UFC Vegas 19 odds: Find the right dog

Edited: 12 days ago
Posts: 69144

The 552nd UFC event, known as UFC Vegas 19, UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis, UFC Fight Night 185, and UFC on ESPN+ 43, will be held on Saturday, February 20, 2021 at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada.

These are The Odds, courtesy of the Father of MMA Odds Joey Oddessa. Follow him on Twitter.

DERRICK LEWIS    +350    
CURTIS BLAYDES    -450    

TOM ASPINALL    -250    

PHIL HAWES    -125    

CHRIS DAUKAUS    -210    

DARRICK MINNER    +163    
CHARLES ROSA    -188    

KETLEN VIEIRA    -266    

DANNY CHAVEZ    -135    
JARED GORDON    +115    

CHAS SKELLY    +195    
JAMALL EMMERS    -230    

NATE LANDWEHR    -120    

JOHN CASTANEDA    -130    
EDDIE WINELAND    +110    

JARED VANDERAA    +215    
SERGEY SPIVAK    -255    

AIEMANN ZAHABI    +163    

SHANA DOBSON    +138    
CASEY O'NEILL    -158    

LUIS PENA    +140    

How Odds Work

Unlike a spread on an NFL game where one team is ahead by a certain number of points (ex. Saints +7), in MMA fights, the line on the game is called a moneyline. These are the +/- used on UFC broadcasts. The figure is how much money you have to bet in order to win $100 (-), and how much a $100 bet will earn (+).

The moneyline is perhaps best explained via example:
DERRICK LEWIS    +350    

In this fight, Blaydes is the -450 favorite, meaning if you bet $450 on him and he wins, you would profit $100. If he were to lose though, you would lose the full $450.

If you were to bet on Lewis at +350, if you bet $100 on him and he wins the fight, you will profit $350. If he were to lose the fight, you would lose your original $100 bet.

Depending on how people are betting on the fights, the odds can shift from the moment they open, right up until the night of the fights.

Some say never bet until the weigh-ins, which streamed live on The UG at Noon ET on Friday.

The sport is built on moments that make you involuntary think "HOLY F***ING S***!!!" Those can come unpredictably at any time, on any portion of the card, from any fighter. Thus, some bettors look to the underdogs, sometimes big ones, as the best bets. 

As always, UG, you see any 'dogs' you like?

15 days ago
Posts: 4064

Darrick Minner and Julian Erosa are the right dogs. 

15 days ago
Posts: 69145

I don't think Lewis is going to win, but given how anything can happen at HW, or, sometimes, nothing, that +350 surprises me.

15 days ago
Posts: 1962
Kirik - 

I don't think Lewis is going to win, but given how anything can happen at HW, or, sometimes, nothing, that +350 surprises me.

I was just about to post exact same thing.  I think he will be taken down relentlessly and GnP'd but it's HW.  One punch is all thats needed.

15 days ago
Posts: 9085

I wish they’d just do odds and assume people can do basic math. 

the -/+ is for fucking retards and mucks everything up. Special ed shit. 

12 days ago
Posts: 69188


12 days ago
Posts: 14319

current odds on ESPN
12 days ago
Posts: 14320

12 days ago
Posts: 11306

Oleinik and Wineland seem like live dogs to me. 

12 days ago
Posts: 31080

Oleinik by submission.

Arlovski and Imavov are right dogs as well.